The Maniac and The Monotone

[ajmargarine]

I played this hand last nite. Villian is a (tilty) maniac. He's dropped at least 2 buy-ins that I know of. He's capable of playing normally for a few hands or an orbit, but then he goes maniac for a few hands out of the blue or after a loss, overbetting or pushing all-in when the pot is still small.

I've been following this guy around hoping to stack him. I never had the right cards or the right situations when he was deeper stacked earlier. An hour previous to this, I did finish off a stack of his for about $45 when he kept bluffing with nothing into my trip 5's (after someone else took him for about $90 the previous hand). Villian(~$78) is UTG and I have him covered.

.50/$1 NLHE full table

Dealt to Hero in CO: A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

Preflop: UTG raises to $7.50, 5 folds, Hero calls, 3 folds.

Flop ($16): A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)

UTG pushes for about $70, Hero ???

If this is not a monotone board, I am insta-calling here. Here's my read and what I gave villian credit for at the table:

10% - he has a made hand like a flush, set, or A9.
60% - he has one spade in his hand.
30% - he has a pp, Ax, 9x, or nothing.