Digging out of this hole

[SossMan]

Hero is top 10 in chips with 30 players remaining in a $33r for a PCA seat. (one seat only, 2nd = dick)

Hero has ~25k
Villian on Button is tourney chip leader w/ ~60k
A few others around 20-30k range at the table.
Hero has a pretty TAG image. The last hand he played was a flat call of a small all in w/ TT. 3rd player bet the dry side on Kxx flop and hero set 3rd player in. 3rd player folded, all in had AA, hero hits T on river.

Just before that, hero called a minraise on the button after two coldcallers w/ QTs. Hit trips on the flop, bet when checked to and everyone folded.

Villian has been active in many pots, usually the aggressor.

BB = 600 (w/ antes)
Hero opens 3x from LMP w/ As9s.
Only villian calls on the button.
Blinds fold

Flop is A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]T [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

Pot is 4500'ish.

Hero bets 3500.
Villian makes it 10,200 to go (t6700 more)

Hero has around 22k behind if he folds.

and...?

[mlagoo]

i fold this in a shot =/ this may be a leak?

My first thought is just to push because the flop is so draw-heavy. This is a very tough spot.

(Editted out stupid thing.)

[mlagoo]

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My first thought is just to push because the flop is so draw-heavy. This is a very tough spot.

What does everyone think about villain leaving himself with ~1/4 pot?

[/ QUOTE ]

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Villian on Button is tourney chip leader w/ ~60k

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[schwza]

given your description of villain, i probably move in. i think he has a million different pair+gutshot hands here or draws or what not, and he's going to play them fast. if it were regular MTT payout, i'd fold.

but i'm always the one saying push, so maybe that's a leak.

[CardSharpCook]

I'm really confused as to why villian wouldn't push. I let this go. Believe his agression. A9 isn't a strong hand any more.

[Annulus]

His range includes a ton of made hands that has you beat, from AK to lots of 2 pair combos to staight. flush draw is also very possible, but I think this is a very easy fold and not worth finding out.

[EverettKings]

You'd think he wouldn't try to get you off your hand when the pfr sees an AQJ flop. This looks more like he wants action than anything. I guess he could have a flush draw but he could have lots of other stuff that beats you. The real question is, would he do this with a worse ace? I feel like he'd just be calling. This feels bad. I think I can find a better spot against him.

Everett

[SossMan]

FWIW, I'm not the hero.

[SossMan]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm really confused as to why villian wouldn't push. I let this go. Believe his agression. A9 isn't a strong hand any more.

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what makes you think he should push?