overpair vs. straight draw

[ellipse_87]

Villain is 89/17/1.1. Given these stats, is one more turn bet +EV long-term?

A subsidiary question: More often than not, does 82 VPIP tell us conclusively that villain is too stupid to slow-play top pair, and that he has exactly what he's representing when he wakes up on a 3-straight turn?

Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (9 max, 7 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls, Button calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, BB calls, MP1 calls, CO calls, Button calls.

Flop: (10 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, MP1 calls, CO calls, Button calls.

Turn: (7.50 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, MP1 folds, CO calls, Button folds, Hero calls.

River: (13.50 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, CO folds, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 15.50 BB

[teajay]

Against someone playing this many hands, and a reasonable agression factor I'm tempted to three bet the turn. Check call if capped.