Hand from $500 satellite to US Poker Open

$500 satellite to US Poker Open at Borgata
39 out of 208 entrants remaining, top 10 gets entries to the event
blinds $1,000/2,000 antes $200
average stack around T26K

SB T20K
BB T30K
Hero on button w/ T22K
Villain sits 2 to hero’s right w/ T27K

Hero is new to the table, so no reads

9 handed at one of the 4 remaining tables when this hand comes up:

Preflop:
Checked to Villain, who makes it $5,100 to go
Hero has 9h,9d

What’s Hero’s play?

[KramerTM]

[ QUOTE ]
Preflop:
Checked to Villain, who makes it $5,100 to go


[/ QUOTE ]

Do you mean folded to Villain?

[TomHimself]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Preflop:
Checked to Villain, who makes it $5,100 to go


[/ QUOTE ]

Do you mean folded to Villain?

[/ QUOTE ]WTF do you think he meant, stop being a nit

D'oh! [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

yeah folded to villan.

[TomHimself]

I push, your too far away to fold to into a seat and relatively shortstacked. He opened in LP so his range is wider. i cant see calling because flop will bring overs and you will be in a tuff spot. i think folding is fine too because you can wait for a better spot but the blinds r getting big

I did push, the blinds folded and Villian called with KQs.

What do you think of villian's call?

Not that it matters, but he flopped a Q and sent me home.

[betgo]

I think you both played it right. KQ is only dominated by a few big hands and he had pot odds. Neither of you have enough chips to play supercautious.

Understood, I can see the case for villain's call. I think that's a fine call in a normal tournament. But I guess I was wondering how villain’s position in the tournament at the time, and the fact that the top 10 all get the same prize didn't lead him to lay down KQ here.

Although he may not be easily dominated here, and is getting good odds for a call, he is still a coin-flip dog against almost all of my likely holdings. So is calling really correct considering you'll be a coin flip at best and be crippled if you lose when you can fold and wait for a better spot? What hands that he'd be favored over could he possibly give me credit for here? It seems to me like he knowingly took the worst of it in the wrong stage in the tournament.

Or am I off base here?

[locutus2002]

Villain is getting an overlay in the pot, so his call is correct. He's calling ~T17K to win T30K and only has to be 36% in the hand which he easily is with KQ in late position against a short stack.

Overs is villain's most likely holding, but I'd be happy to toss with 99 and only 11XBB left so far from the money. Sorry it didn't work out.

[Sam T.]

[ QUOTE ]
I think you both played it right. KQ is only dominated by a few big hands and he had pot odds. Neither of you have enough chips to play supercautious.

[/ QUOTE ]

If the villain is going to call an all-in, shouldn't he push pre-flop?