In running/halftime dilema

[WichitaDM]

Pretty sure i should go for the middle and here is why.
Possible outcomes
Indy wins by 15+ lose .3units
Indy wins by 11-14 only lose the 10.5 bet
Indy wins by 8-9-10 win/push all bets
Any other outcome win both cincy bets.

So basically it takes all the risk out of it and im freerolling for a big score if it finishes indy by 8-9-10 or a relatively large win if its 11-14 indy which i see as both being reasonable outcomes.