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Old 10-25-2005, 10:22 PM
Vince Young Vince Young is offline
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Default Another Insane Bodog Prop?

Under NCAA Props:

Which NCAA College team will lose first in the Regular Season? (Doesn't include Big XII Championship)

Texas 9/5
USC 14/5
Both lose the same day 6/1
Both Stay Undefeated 5/6
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Old 10-25-2005, 10:29 PM
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Default Re: Another Insane Bodog Prop?

The rest of Texas regular season schedule is a joke, so it comes down to do you think USC could possibly lose to CAL, Fresno State, or UCLA. So the Texas and both lose on same day bets are out. Could do the USC 14/5 and do a hedge if they are still undefeated when it gets to UCLA, then you win either way.
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Old 10-26-2005, 03:25 AM
MCS MCS is offline
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Default Re: Another Insane Bodog Prop?

It's not like the probability Texas loses is 0. If they're 95% in each of their remaining games, the chance they lose at least once (assuming games are independent) is over 14%. That's pretty significant.
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Old 10-26-2005, 01:42 PM
TomCollins TomCollins is offline
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Default Re: Another Insane Bodog Prop?

[ QUOTE ]
It's not like the probability Texas loses is 0. If they're 95% in each of their remaining games, the chance they lose at least once (assuming games are independent) is over 14%. That's pretty significant.

[/ QUOTE ]

There is no way in hell Oklahoma State has even a 2% chance of beating Texas. What are the odds that the entire 1st and 2nd teams get food poisoning? Thats about the odds OK State has. Id say 99% chance of Texas winning.

Baylor, 95% is perhaps fair.
Kansas, 99%?
A&M, possibly 95% here?

So 8-1 that Texas loses?
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