5-12 matchups

[marbles]

Originally posted in "other gambling," not much traffic over there...

Just started the drawn-out process of way over-analyzing my office pool bracket. After penciling in round 1 W's for all the #1 seeds (the ONLY sure thing in the history of the tourney), I always look to the 5-12 matchups. Generally, I like to give the 12's half of these, but picking the right ones is the tough part.
The games are:
Wisconsin vs. Weber State
UConn vs. BYU
Miss State vs. Butler
ND vs. UWM

Right now, I'm leaning towards Weber State and UWM as being my #12 first-round "Cinderellas." I like Butler a lot, but they looked silly against UWM last week, and Miss State was an unfortunate draw for them.

Weber State should be a toss-up vs. Wisconsin in Washington. If you get any significant points with Weber State, take 'em.

Any thoughts?