PLO/8 Newbie Hand

[MarkyMark]

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I would say at an absolute maximum its a 33% chance someone has a suited ace high flush when you bet a hand with a suited king high flush draw.

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There are 2 ways how to judge wether the nut flush draw is out there. You can calculate it or you can calculate it AND look at the action. And the action tells me someone really, really likes his hand. I still don´t understand the raise on the flop. Like you said, cottontail should have folded with just the nut low, but it´s really rare to see someone laying down the nut low at a PP $100 table. I´d rather be a 51% favorite 3-way than a 60% fav HU. And given the risk that by driving out Cotton you are indeed making it heads up again the nut flush, then the raise makes even less sense. It´s only the best move when your opponents hold exactly the cards as they did in this hand and Cotton is able to fold the nut low....

Then again regarding your statement about the biggest mistakes being made pre-flop. But isn´t Cotton in your hand a good example that the biggest mistake is made on flop/turn? Also is you raising with the worst hand pre-flop a mistake on your part by your definition?

and also pls comment on what I wrote here cause it interests me:

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Because if someone has a better hand than you, you want to find out now, and not on a flop of 378.

this assumes you are always getting raised by people having a better hand than you. But a better hand (low protection, no defect, Ace suited) may only call, so you are not necessarily gaining information.

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Isn´t that exactly what Try_Me did? Smooth-call you with a better hand?

If I don´t have the mindset of a winner, then I must have the mindset of a winning loser ;-)

Edit: And if you make this much money, please pay some guy in Russia 300 bucks to make your site don´t like like it´s 1994 and I´m using CompuServe´s Mosaic browser :-)