Trouble on fourth?

[lstream]

I think I should have re-raised on third, but what would you do on fourth? I had just sat down and had no read on the opponents.

7 Card Stud High ($5/$10), Ante $0.50, Bring-In $2 (converter)

3rd Street - (0.60 SB)

Seat 1: xx xx T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___calls___calls
Seat 2: xx xx 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___folds
Seat 4: xx xx K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___calls___folds
Hero: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___completes___calls
Seat 7: xx xx 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___folds
Seat 8: xx xx 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]___brings-in___raises

4th Street - (7.00 SB)

Seat 1: xx xx T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]___double bets
Hero: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]___???
Seat 8: xx xx 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]___

[Roland]

This sucks. Without a read on seat 1 I lean towards folding; it’s not like cold-calling two raises with tens is unheard of. Also, a king and a deuce are dead and you have to improve.
Then again, against a 3-flush + tens and two pairs you have decent equity and should definitely continue.
Since there is no way you are going to knock out seat 8 you can only call.
So it’s call or fold. I think it’s close.

[Jeffage]

3rd is fine...I don't think you need to cap there. I'd rather see what develops with last action (and knowing you will be bet into).

On 4th, you've seen what developed and it blows ass. Fold. Trip tens are very likely, trip deuces are possible even with the dead deuce, you're likely behind now and badly. The pot is large, but not large enough to draw to two outs and call a bet on every subsequent street at double the stakes with no more info. I lay it down.

Jeff

To me, 3rd st re-raise is nearly automatic. I would suspect Seat 8 of trying to thin the crowd.
At 4th, I'd have trouble reading Trip 2s because of my own 2 and it seems to me it makes for an odd re-raise on 3rd for Seat 8.
But Seat 1's double bet is a poser. If I know the player, my decision would be based on whether he will automatically double-bet and on my read of his calls on 3rd street. Also, some players will never have trips here because they would have folded 3rd. If I don't know the player, then I think I should fold.

[benwood]

I think there's a pretty reasonable chance that neither one of them has trips.But still,if I make 2 pair,I can't bet my hand with any confidence,giving me reverse implied odds.Finally,my side cards being semi-dead lean me toward the fold.

[Gitz]

double indemnity: My term for two door cards being hit.

A hand in 7cs playing that provides for payment of double the amount to the opponents at the table causing death for the non-pair chaser.

Just a painful reminder of losing hands that I try to avoid today.

Paul

[CJC]

Hello,

I suppose I will make my first post in several months, commenting on this hand.

3rd is an auto re-raise, but you know that so I won't chastise.

4th is an auto fold, and it really isn't even close. ( in your situation ). The sidecards to your Aces are dead and you know you are beaten in at least one place, more than likely two, and probably badly beaten. Get out. Lot's of players wouldn't fold Aces in this spot, then again, lot's of players donate alot of money in Stud.

The original post and situation described is EXTREMEMLY important for players new to stud to study and understand.
If players constantly call in situations described, they will be losers. Sure you will throw away the best hand now and then, but over the long run, you will be much better off folding.
Take Care,

CJ

[TheSalche]

I definetly don't put Seat 8 on trip twos, there really is not reasonable hand to do this with (except maybe AA2?). A22 and KK2 are other possiblities but once again not likely. Maybe a three flush w/ace of spades?

Re-raising third doesn't accomplish anything but get more money in the pot, if there were some way of knocking out a player that would make sense, but given the action you played it fine.

[frappeboy]

Fold.

[frappeboy]

There is a concept I'd like to discuss here. When your opponent pairs his door card, he usually either has A) Trips, B) Pair with 3 flush C) 2 pair. The likelihood of each depends on how 3rd street was played. Here are the 4 possiblities.

A1) The pot is unraised and your opponent has a small pair
A2) The pot is unraised and your opponent has a medium/big pair (I define this as 8s or higher).
B1) The pot is raised and your opponent has a small pair
B2) The pot is raised and your opponent has a medium/big pair.

Lets analyze each possibility

A1: It is more likely that your opponent has trips here than if the pot was raised. This is simple to understand because lots of players won't play small pairs for a raise. It is ALSO more likely that your opponent has trips here than if your opponent had a medium/big pair showing. This is because if he had started with a medium/big pair he'd be more inclined to raise. You should almost always fold against this player.

A2: It is possible, but not as likely that your opponent has trips here. The point is players are more likely to raise on third with medium/big pairs. Also, there are more playable hands when the door card is higher. For instance your opponent could be playing 3 high cards here, maybe a hand like JT9. If his door card was a 3, its less likely he started with a hand like 345. Therefore against this scenario you should actually play LOOSER than if your opponent made a small pair showing.

B1) The pot is raised and your opponent pairs his small card. Since the pot was raised it is less likely that he started with a split pair, although against lots of players its still very possible. You should play looser in this scenario than you would if the pot was unraised on 3rd. It is much more likely that your opponent started with a 3 flush here than on scenario A1. Still play very cautious but play looser than A1.

B2) Since the pot was raised, it now becomes more likely that your opponent has trips when he pairs his medium/big door card. Play much tighter in this scenario than if the pot was unraised on 3rd, as in scenario A2.


This may sound long winded, but its interesting theory. Also, another point of this, is if the pot was raised on 3rd, and your opponent who's door card is low catches a suited card on 4th, it is MORE likely he has a 4 flush than if he started with a big card. So when your opponent makes a 3 flush on board on 5th street, you should play much tighter against a small card in the door than a big card in the door.

How this relates to this example, is it is very likely that your opponent who called with the ten now has trips. Also even the guy with 2s could have it. Fold.