#11
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Re: Overpair turns OESD and faces aggression
[ QUOTE ]
20% of the time you win 95% (approx.) 30% of time you win 85% 15% you have 12 outs to win (25%) 35% you have 6 outs to win or tie (12%) [/ QUOTE ] I love the way you think. This is exactly the type of break down I try to make myself do when I play (although I don't always succeed). When this hand actually played out, I didn't actually put any numbers on it, but I did note all the possible hands villain had, and realized I was ahead of a lot of them, and had outs to beat most of the rest. For what it's worth, I think the bluffing percent might have been even higher than 20% based on the shots he'd taken against me before. But 20% is a good, conservative estimate. In the end villain showed 67o for two pair. Oh well. |
#12
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Re: Overpair turns OESD and faces aggression
All-in, there are also soooooo many action killing cards on the river, and you should be cool against the villain's range, and you can't fold so push.
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