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#1
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I\'m definitely over my head...
and you can laugh at me...
apologies in advance for the format, and I didnt know how to adjust for a shortstack opponent here... no read, whats a good default line? Seat 1: BradMajors Seat 2: MopITup Seat 3: B_O_K_E Seat 4: stoxtrader4 [ A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ] ($11,263.00 in chips) Seat 5: CMsuited Seat 6: wannaabe Seat 8: the_lark ($1,871.00 in chips) Seat 9: mih2099 Seat 10: bedeviling ($5,025.00 in chips) ANTES/BLINDS bedeviling posts blind ($25), BradMajors posts blind ($50). PRE-FLOP MopITup folds, B_O_K_E folds, stoxtrader4 bets $150, CMsuited folds, wannaabe folds, the_lark calls $150, mih2099 folds, bedeviling calls $125, BradMajors folds. FLOP [board cards K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img],6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ] (pot = 500) bedeviling checks, stoxtrader4 bets $400, the_lark calls $400, bedeviling folds. TURN [board cards K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img],6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ] stoxtrader4.... (pot is 1300, opponent has approx 1300 behind) |
#2
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Re: I\'m definitely over my head...
check fold looks good
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#3
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Re: I\'m definitely over my head...
Fold equity=0
Odds=not there Play=check/fold |
#4
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Re: I\'m definitely over my head...
This is not a 100% fold unless we know opponents stats, how often does he call this flop and you're ahead?
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#5
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Re: I\'m definitely over my head...
[ QUOTE ]
This is not a 100% fold unless we know opponents stats, how often does he call this flop and you're ahead? [/ QUOTE ] Not often enough. |
#6
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Re: I\'m definitely over my head...
[ QUOTE ]
Fold equity=0 Odds=not there Play=check/fold [/ QUOTE ] i think the shortie most likely has either a K or pocket pair here, and is willing to go broke with both. From my experience with short stacks, once they call a flop bet and the pot approaches the size of their stack, they rarely fold. Him being on a flush draw is unlikely. I think any bet is -EV, and you don't have odds to call a bet. Pray he really is bad and gives you a free card, or just fold to a bet. I would consider betting river (about 600-750) if he checks turn though. |
#7
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Re: I\'m definitely over my head...
we need some reads on villain. If this is UB 25/50 i'm not folding this hand on the turn. your equity against 88 is huge; and you almost have odds to push- so you need almost no fold equity. I think he also has 89 or clubs here a fair % of the time. I think i might actually chk/call.
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#8
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Re: I\'m definitely over my head...
Who likes checking the flop to avoid this situation?
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#9
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Re: I\'m definitely over my head...
[ QUOTE ]
Who likes checking the flop to avoid this situation? [/ QUOTE ] crickets chirping |
#10
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Re: I\'m definitely over my head...
[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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