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  #81  
Old 08-07-2004, 12:08 PM
kyro kyro is offline
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Location: Rochester, NH
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Default Re: astroglide/ What a Crock of S**T here\'s why

[ QUOTE ]
You guys think I'm some sort of idiot

[/ QUOTE ]

Why yes, yes we do.

Actually I just think this thread should never leave the first page, so BUMP!
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  #82  
Old 08-09-2004, 04:31 AM
Joe826 Joe826 is offline
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Posts: 82
Default Re: astroglide/ question for you

[ QUOTE ]
It's close, but my vote goes to airpoaneman.

[/ QUOTE ]

Am I the only one that remembers Gh0stbuster?

He's my all time favorite poster.
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  #83  
Old 08-09-2004, 10:45 AM
AviD AviD is offline
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Default Re: astroglide/ question for you

+n
gg k thx
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  #84  
Old 08-09-2004, 10:53 AM
OrangeHeat OrangeHeat is offline
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Location: Syracuse, New York
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Default Where pokerhorse is going wrong.

Pokerhorse is trying to say that no matter how many hand you play in three months you do not have any confidence in the results for the next month.

The problem with his theory is that even though the sample size is small (in terms of months) the standard deviation in $$ earned/month over a months time gets smaller as you play more hands in each of those months.

Orange
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  #85  
Old 08-09-2004, 08:11 PM
joker122 joker122 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 396
Default Re: Where pokerhorse is going wrong.

Actually, where is going wrong is asserting that a meaningful winrate is a function of the amount of time taken to play x number of hands when all that matter is just x.

Sorry if your post was meant to be satirical because I didn't pick up on it.
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  #86  
Old 08-09-2004, 08:48 PM
OrangeHeat OrangeHeat is offline
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Default Re: Where pokerhorse is going wrong.






He is thinking $$/month and we all think $$/hand.

What he fails to realize that for a B&M player only getting 4800 hands/month the stdev of his $$$/month will be much higher than an online player getting 25,000 hands.

i.e. B&M player may have an average monthly win of $1000 and a stdev of $300

Online player may have average win of $4000 and a stdev of $300.

Now after a couple months - B&M player cannot be sure if he is a winner or loser because the stdev/ave ratio - online player on the other hand can have a much higher confidence in his reults because they are inherently more consistent because of the high number of hands.

Nothing satirical.
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  #87  
Old 08-09-2004, 09:09 PM
BigBaitsim (milo) BigBaitsim (milo) is offline
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Default Re: astroglide/ What a Crock of S**T here\'s why

Gotta say, I love the avatar Tim.
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  #88  
Old 08-09-2004, 09:12 PM
BigBaitsim (milo) BigBaitsim (milo) is offline
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Posts: 373
Default Re: astroglide/ question for you

[ QUOTE ]
I...CAN'T...STOP...READING........

wow, just wow.

[/ QUOTE ]

That should read:

[Shatner] I...CAN'T...STOP...READING..... [/Shatner].

It just makes the post clearer.
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  #89  
Old 08-09-2004, 09:16 PM
TimM TimM is offline
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Location: New York
Posts: 147
Default Re: astroglide/ What a Crock of S**T here\'s why

[ QUOTE ]
Gotta say, I love the avatar Tim.

[/ QUOTE ]

Me too. I post more now just so I can look at it. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Edit: I just found out today there's another:



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  #90  
Old 08-10-2004, 12:24 AM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Location: memphis
Posts: 1,245
Default Re: astroglide/ question for you

this is a tough call. but pokerhorse's continued insistance that he is correct gives him the edge over airopaneguy and ghostbuster imo.

although pokerhorse was certainly more polite then the other two.

man, i just can't decide.
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