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  #71  
Old 09-29-2004, 02:25 AM
astroglide astroglide is offline
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Default Re: maybe a little chip dumping between annie and howard? why not?

since it's a winner take all tournament i don't think phil is going to dork away all of his chips when it's not heads up. he is the ABSOLUTE KING of not taking "sure things". once it gets heads up people, including him should be more apt to move in.
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  #72  
Old 09-29-2004, 12:47 PM
Ed Miller Ed Miller is offline
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Default Re: maybe a little chip dumping between annie and howard? why not?

since it's a winner take all tournament i don't think phil is going to dork away all of his chips when it's not heads up. he is the ABSOLUTE KING of not taking "sure things". once it gets heads up people, including him should be more apt to move in.

Then it seems to me that "dorking away all his chips" is exactly what Phil is gonna do 3-handed. When you are folding ace-queen, you don't have a chance unless you happen to get dealt aces three times in a row.
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  #73  
Old 09-29-2004, 12:51 PM
astroglide astroglide is offline
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Default Re: maybe a little chip dumping between annie and howard? why not?

he still plays flops when he sees them
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  #74  
Old 09-29-2004, 03:50 PM
Derek in NYC Derek in NYC is offline
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Default Re: maybe a little chip dumping between annie and howard? why not?

I follow your explanation, but let's change one aspect of the hypothetical: "if all 3 players are of equal skill". This condition is rarely satisfied in the "real world". Suppose that A and B were both less skilled than C. If that condition were satisfied, in a 3 way contest C would have be better than 1:2 to win, correct? So under these circumstances, if A dumps to B, do B's new chances of winning exceed sum(A's chances, B's chances)?

And to bring the hypothetical back to the game, if somebody were expecting a chip dump, wouldn't it be FROM Duke to Lederer? (No offense--she admits her brother is the better player.) The fact that the chips moved in the opposite direction than this would suggest there was no chip dump, as by dumping to Duke, any Lederer/Duke combination should be reducing its expectation.
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  #75  
Old 09-29-2004, 05:07 PM
Vince Lepore Vince Lepore is offline
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Default Re: maybe a little chip dumping between annie and howard? why not?

"Suppose that A and B were both less skilled than C. If that condition were satisfied, in a 3 way contest C would have be better than 1:2 to win, correct?"

No, not if A and B were skilled in playing as a team. A and B would still have a considerable (much more than chip position) advantage over C if they equalized their chips. Team play against one player is extremely powerful. Knowing 4 cards as opposed to two cards and/or the fact that one of your opponents wont play aginst you can provide and insurmountble advantage in a live game and almost an equally great advantage in a tournament.

"And to bring the hypothetical back to the game, if somebody were expecting a chip dump, wouldn't it be FROM Duke to Lederer? "

Now, I am not in any way saying that there was chip dumping going on, in fact, I beleve that the players were playing their best. But the hand in question went something like this: Duke raised with 6,6 and Lederer moved in with 7,7 and Duke called. No way, unless the it was a cold deck, was Lederrer dumping chips to Duke with 7,7 over 6,6.

Vince
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  #76  
Old 09-29-2004, 05:18 PM
Vince Lepore Vince Lepore is offline
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Default Re: !!VINCE!!

Hi buddy! I want to qualify my statement. I believe Fossilman when he told me that he didn't make any deal. I cannot vouch for the others.


Vince
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  #77  
Old 09-29-2004, 05:22 PM
Vince Lepore Vince Lepore is offline
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Default Re: maybe a little chip dumping between annie and howard? why not?

Of course your right Ed. You wrote a book, didn't you! Hmph the nerve of some people.

Vince
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