![]() |
#41
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
OK I did a makeshift stove analysis of my equity here: Any king, any two decent diamonds, JJ-66, but no fives ( I would have been raised probably ) andd my equity sucks and not even all of these hands call so I think its a check Board: Kd 5d 5s 3h 9c Dead: equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1: 57.6855 % 57.69% 00.00% { JJ-66, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, Kd9d, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd6d, Kd4d, Kd3d, Kd2d, QdJd, QdTd, Qd9d, Qd8d, Qd7d, Qd6d, Qd4d, Qd3d, Qd2d, JdTd, Jd9d, Jd8d, Jd7d, Jd6d, Td9d, Td8d, Td7d, Td6d, 9d8d, 9d7d, 9d6d, 8d7d, 8d6d, 7d6d, 7d4d, 6d4d, 4d3d, K6o+, K4o-K2o } Hand 2: 42.3145 % 42.31% 00.00% { QQ } [/ QUOTE ] you shouldn't be including diamonds that have no pair. you just need to be a favorite over the range of calling hands. if he's terrible he could have any 2 unpaired cards here planning to fold the river, but that wouldn't make a bet any more or less profitable |
#42
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Fixed
I included A high diamodns too Board: Kd 5d 5s 3h 9c Dead: equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1: 51.8424 % 51.84% 00.00% { JJ-66, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, Kd9d, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd6d, Kd4d, Kd3d, Kd2d, Qd9d, Q3s, Jd9d, J3s, T9s, T3s, 9d8d, 97s-96s, 94s-92s, 83s, 73s, 63s, 53s, 4d3d, 32s, K6o+, K4o-K2o } Hand 2: 48.1576 % 48.16% 00.00% { QQ } If I remove the non paired A high diamonds my equity drops a couple points. Still not 55% |
#43
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
he doesn't have a 5
you could probably also throw in some offsuit aces like A9-A6 you also included hands like 73s (not just diamonds) for some reason. he's not betting the flop with 2 random cards |
#44
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Board: Kd 5d 5s 3h 9c
Dead: equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1: 47.5597 % 47.31% 00.25% { QQ-66, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, Kd9d, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd6d, K4s, Kd3d, Kd2d, Qd9d, Qd3d, Jd9d, Jd3d, Td9d, Td3d, 9d8d, 9d7d, 9d6d, 9d4d, 9d3d, 9d2d, 8d7d, 8d3d, 7d3d, 6d3d, 4d3d, A8o+, K6o+, K4o-K2o } Hand 2: 52.4403 % 52.19% 00.25% { QQ } That's about as close as its gonna get...i think he folds just about every other hand (and he doesnt always donk with PPs/offsuit aces) so I think it's a check. BTW he had K6o and MHING. |
![]() |
|
|