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  #41  
Old 08-25-2005, 08:33 PM
sthief09 sthief09 is offline
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Location: duffman is thrusting in the direction of the problem (mets are 9-13, currently on a 1 game winning streak)
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Default Re: Looks standard (LC if it is)

[ QUOTE ]
OK I did a makeshift stove analysis of my equity here:
Any king, any two decent diamonds, JJ-66, but no fives ( I would have been raised probably ) andd my equity sucks
and not even all of these hands call

so I think its a check


Board: Kd 5d 5s 3h 9c
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 57.6855 % 57.69% 00.00% { JJ-66, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, Kd9d, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd6d, Kd4d, Kd3d, Kd2d, QdJd, QdTd, Qd9d, Qd8d, Qd7d, Qd6d, Qd4d, Qd3d, Qd2d, JdTd, Jd9d, Jd8d, Jd7d, Jd6d, Td9d, Td8d, Td7d, Td6d, 9d8d, 9d7d, 9d6d, 8d7d, 8d6d, 7d6d, 7d4d, 6d4d, 4d3d, K6o+, K4o-K2o }
Hand 2: 42.3145 % 42.31% 00.00% { QQ }

[/ QUOTE ]


you shouldn't be including diamonds that have no pair. you just need to be a favorite over the range of calling hands. if he's terrible he could have any 2 unpaired cards here planning to fold the river, but that wouldn't make a bet any more or less profitable
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  #42  
Old 08-25-2005, 08:37 PM
baronzeus baronzeus is offline
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Default Re: Looks standard (LC if it is)

Fixed

I included A high diamodns too

Board: Kd 5d 5s 3h 9c
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 51.8424 % 51.84% 00.00% { JJ-66, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, Kd9d, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd6d, Kd4d, Kd3d, Kd2d, Qd9d, Q3s, Jd9d, J3s, T9s, T3s, 9d8d, 97s-96s, 94s-92s, 83s, 73s, 63s, 53s, 4d3d, 32s, K6o+, K4o-K2o }
Hand 2: 48.1576 % 48.16% 00.00% { QQ }



If I remove the non paired A high diamonds my equity drops a couple points. Still not 55%
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  #43  
Old 08-25-2005, 08:39 PM
sthief09 sthief09 is offline
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Default Re: Looks standard (LC if it is)

he doesn't have a 5

you could probably also throw in some offsuit aces like A9-A6

you also included hands like 73s (not just diamonds) for some reason. he's not betting the flop with 2 random cards
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  #44  
Old 08-25-2005, 08:45 PM
baronzeus baronzeus is offline
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Default Re: Looks standard (LC if it is)

Board: Kd 5d 5s 3h 9c
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 47.5597 % 47.31% 00.25% { QQ-66, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, Kd9d, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd6d, K4s, Kd3d, Kd2d, Qd9d, Qd3d, Jd9d, Jd3d, Td9d, Td3d, 9d8d, 9d7d, 9d6d, 9d4d, 9d3d, 9d2d, 8d7d, 8d3d, 7d3d, 6d3d, 4d3d, A8o+, K6o+, K4o-K2o }
Hand 2: 52.4403 % 52.19% 00.25% { QQ }



That's about as close as its gonna get...i think he folds just about every other hand (and he doesnt always donk with PPs/offsuit aces) so I think it's a check.





BTW he had K6o and MHING.
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