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#41
06-28-2005, 07:33 PM
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Re: 2+2 at the WSOP ME
Thanks to PP Steps tournament I won a seat on WSOP as well.
Everytime I think about the odds I have a sinking feeling inside. Since this is my first WSOP I figured I would go there, play the best game as I know it, chug a few beers with MoneyMaker, and party with Jesus at a bar (Jesus is quite THE dancer!). Have a great time people watching and come back with a bunch of non-sensical posts for the entertainment of all 2+2'ers. 
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#42
06-28-2005, 08:11 PM
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Re: 2+2 at the WSOP ME
lets say 200 2+2'ers are there.
each with a 1:5000 shot of winning it (out of 6000 or so players I'm going to assume that the 2+2'ers have a better shot then many of the dead-money players). This puts us at a 1:25 shot of having a 2+2'er win the whole thing, right? (4% chance I believe). But lets look at the final-table (and we'll make the final table 10 players just to keep it simple). 200 players each with a 1:50 shot of making the final 10. Not quite 50/50....but kinda close. Not too unrealistic that out of 200 2+2'ers in the main-event that we get one player at the final-table....and VERY good chances that we get one player to the final 20 or 30. Of course, this includes both Raymer and Sklansky (whom I am assuming is playing but I don't know) along with all the 'barely better than average' 2+2 WSOP-noobs like me.
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#43
06-28-2005, 10:45 PM
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Re: 2+2 at the WSOP ME
[ QUOTE ]
This puts us at a 1:25 shot of having a 2+2'er win the whole thing, right? (4% chance I believe). [/ QUOTE ] I don't know where you're getting this 4% crap, everybody knows granny is a lock!
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#45
06-29-2005, 12:15 PM
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Re: 2+2 at the WSOP ME
I don't have 200+ posts, but have been on 2+2 since nearly day 1. Took 31st in Event #2 and 2nd in Event #4 this year, and will be playing the ME.
Good luck to everyone else playing the big one! -Aces
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#46
06-29-2005, 12:29 PM
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Re: 2+2 at the WSOP ME
And according to poker pages, you got 2nd AND 9th in the same event (#4)!!! Congrats on that accomplishment!!!
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#49
06-29-2005, 08:16 PM
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Re: 2+2 at the WSOP ME
[ QUOTE ]
my math's not good on a saturday, but if raymer's 325:1 and daniel n.'s 200:1 and sklanky's 700:1, then combined they're what? [/ QUOTE ] The combined odds is simple: 1/325 + 1/200 + 1/700 which is about 106:1
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