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#1
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KJ on bubble. Is this a push?
I ran it in SnGPT and its pretty close. So ill post it here.
party 50+5 Hero (1280) in CO with KJo Button (5870) SB (2370) BB (480) stacks are before posting blinds 100/200 |
#2
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Re: KJ on bubble. Is this a push?
How many hands until the blinds go up? I'm not nearly as good as the amazing posters are on here, and I'm still learning lots about FE and EV but I have a good idea how to play. If it's in mid round or early round, I think I fold. You have an extremely short stack and the button coming up. If you get called, you're done.
Love to hear what the experts have to say. |
#3
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Re: KJ on bubble. Is this a push?
at least another orbit before they go up
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#4
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Re: KJ on bubble. Is this a push?
[ QUOTE ]
How many hands until the blinds go up? I'm not nearly as good as the amazing posters are on here, and I'm still learning lots about FE and EV but I have a good idea how to play. If it's in mid round or early round, I think I fold. You have an extremely short stack and the button coming up. If you get called, you're done. Love to hear what the experts have to say. [/ QUOTE ] I think I should clarify so I don't look like a jackass. By, "You have an extreme short stack," I didn't mean you, but the BB in the hand. So you have a chance that the BB loses, AND you have the button coming up. |
#5
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Re: KJ on bubble. Is this a push?
Well, I'm certainly no expert (I'm brand new) -- but I think I'm pushing here. Haven't gotten my reg. key for SnG PT yet, and I don't know the math well enough to know for sure what the best play is (nor do I have reads as to what opponents might call your push with). But I'd certainly be inclined to push here.
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#6
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Re: KJ on bubble. Is this a push?
BB should be calling with any two. if he doesnt, this is a clear push. big stacks are probably around 77+, A9+, maybe even less for the biggest stack because hes a donk.
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#7
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Re: KJ on bubble. Is this a push?
I fold here. |
#8
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Re: KJ on bubble. Is this a push?
[ QUOTE ]
I fold here. [/ QUOTE ] awesome, thanks. i pushed here but then i started thinking that it was probably a mistake |
#9
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Re: KJ on bubble. Is this a push?
Tough spot but I fold - only just though.
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#10
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Re: KJ on bubble. Is this a push?
OK, you have a good chance folding the Button and the SB since you are taking care of the short stack. If they move in, I guess you are in trouble because they will have better hands.
The short stack will likely call you with a very wide range of hands, so you should be the favorite to win HU with him. So, you are 60/40 favorite against him. Overall, considering that the other two migh call with a good hand you are maybe 55/45?. Not too bad, but Button or CO could also take him out. I'd say that there is a good chance (between 25 to 45%, depending on their playing style) that one of the two will eliminate him. |
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