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  #1  
Old 11-05-2004, 01:59 PM
rachelwxm rachelwxm is offline
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Default why you should not fold AA according to ICM

Well, I agree this is very close to fold AA but still not according to ICM.
You folding equity 28.9
You all in and double up on bb, equity 35.6
So you need to be 4.3:1 favorate in order to break even.
And AA is 5.8:1 against random hands, similar against top 15%.

The worst case if bb has pair or 98s etc, but if your assumption is that he would call with anytwo, I think it's a +ev push here. [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]
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  #2  
Old 11-06-2004, 02:49 AM
JNash JNash is offline
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Default Re: why you should not fold AA according to ICM

Hi Rachel

Thanks for seeing this as a math problem rather than a question of religious faith [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].

Please elaborate...What is ICM? How did you compute the various equities?
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  #3  
Old 11-08-2004, 12:07 PM
rachelwxm rachelwxm is offline
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Default Re: why you should not fold AA according to ICM

Indenpendent chip model.
http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~sharnett/ICM/ICM.html
there is tons of good stuff regarding this in old posts for more infomation. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Most of the posters know all the math, they just don't bother to explain them especially it's a very old question. Check archive more. [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]
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