My bust hand from Sunday's PokerStars $500K guaranteed

[ QUOTE ]

Villain had been pretty short (around 3500) before tripling up with quads. He then won two more huge hands to increase his stack to ~30,000, which put him in the top 5. In all cases he had good hands.

Folded to Villain who raises 2.5BB (t1000). I push all in with AQo. What do you think of this play?


[/ QUOTE ]

Under normal circumstances I think a push is fully in line. The only apprehension I have about a push is I never like getting involved with a guy who's clearly rushing with a hand like AQ. I understand that means he's more willing to call with hands like 66 or maybe even KQ, but it seems in these cases, he's just as likely to have the goods.

Sometimes you just gotta wait for the guy to cool off before you get involved.

[prayformojo]

[ QUOTE ]
Under normal circumstances I think a push is fully in line. The only apprehension I have about a push is I never like getting involved with a guy who's clearly rushing with a hand like AQ. I understand that means he's more willing to call with hands like 66 or maybe even KQ, but it seems in these cases, he's just as likely to have the goods.

Sometimes you just gotta wait for the guy to cool off before you get involved.

[/ QUOTE ]

I've read through this a couple of times, and I'm trying to give you the benefit of the doubt but it's not easy. Are you actually suggesting that it's more likely he has a solid hand right now because he's "rushing"? I hope you aren't, but if you are, you are being a very silly person indeed. The cards don't have memory.

As others have pointed out in this thread, his recent success makes the range of hands he would both raise and call a push with quite broad. The principal consideration here is the range of hands he would play this way. We can attempt to infer that range of hands from his recent play. We cannot infer the quality of his actual holding based on the quality of cards he has recently been dealt.

[TWINUNO]

So what did you end up losing on after all the discusion?

[ QUOTE ]
Are you actually suggesting that it's more likely he has a solid hand right now because he's "rushing"? I hope you aren't, but if you are, you are being a very silly person indeed. The cards don't have memory.


[/ QUOTE ]

I'm not suggesting that the fact that he has recently had a good run of cards somehow indicates that he must also have a very good hand this time as well.

I'm suggesting that I prefer to stay out of the way of the guy who has gone from the felt to top 5 in what the OP implies was a short period of time. Rushes happen. I like having them, I like staying away from those who seem unable to do wrong for a period of time.

That doesn't mean I'm saying it's a definite fold. I'm just saying that in addition to the other information the fact that he's running good MUST be taken into consideration, just as you would likely try to get involved more often with someone who is running bad.

I heart logic

[Seadood228]

I cannot believe that there are so many non-pushers there. I consider myself tight borderlining on weak, and I'd push this every day.

[Bigwig]

I've been away for a while. For those that are wondering, villain called with 77. He hit a set. I almost sucked out for a flush on the river, but to no avail. Just FYI.