(109) more AQ bubble fun with raptor

[raptor517]

[ QUOTE ]
ok, I love calling anyway, so you've conviced me, I call in both hands

[/ QUOTE ]

ok so i got you to make the correct play on one of the hands.. now on to the next.. holla

[durron597]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
ok, I love calling anyway, so you've conviced me, I call in both hands

[/ QUOTE ]

ok so i got you to make the correct play on one of the hands.. now on to the next.. holla

[/ QUOTE ]

omgz, you guys should definitely play HU for a few thousand dollars!!!!1111one

[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] (i'm in a weird mood today, no one do anything ban-worthy)

[lacky]

we already did, last september

[Slim Pickens]

I'm calling here.

[shorty,button,big,you]=$EV(raptor)
Fold:
shorty wins: [1360,2690,4140,1810]=0.2151
shorty loses: [0,2690,5500,1810]=0.2831
It's hard to say who will have the better hand, so I'll call this 25% equity.

Call:
[shorty,button,big,you]
shorty wins side, you win main: [1440,2690,2410,3460]=0.3075
you win both: [0,2690,2410,4900]=0.3806
big stack wins both: [0,2690,7310,0]=0.2000
short wins main, big wins side: [1440,2690,5870,0]=0

OK, so just guessing at some hand ranges.
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 42.2481 % 40.09% 02.16% { AQo }
Hand 2: 28.8968 % 27.34% 01.56% { 22+, A2s+, Q2s+, J7s+, T8s+, A2o+, K2o+, J9o+, T9o }
Hand 3: 28.8552 % 27.30% 01.56% { 22+, A2s+, Q2s+, J7s+, T8s+, A2o+, K2o+, J9o+, T9o }


So I'll say shorty wins the main pot 30% of the time (and you win the side 65% in that case), big stack wins both 30% of the time, and you win both 40% of the time.

(40%)*0.3806+(30%)*0.2000+(30%)*(65%*0.3075+35%*0. 0000)=0.2722

Yeah, I'm calling.

[raptor517]

[ QUOTE ]
we already did, last september

[/ QUOTE ]

this is lacky's version of talking shat. for the record, we were 1-1 against each other, and i had to win like 230502385923 games on the last day to win the huc. lacky had to win 2 [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] holla

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
we already did, last september

[/ QUOTE ]

this is lacky's version of talking shat. for the record, we were 1-1 against each other, and i had to win like 230502385923 games on the last day to win the huc. lacky had to win 2 [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] holla

[/ QUOTE ]


You were supposed to be this colossus. You were this great, legendary thing. And yet he gains.

[lacky]

nah, just saying we did. playing you heads up is a long term waste of time for both of us. it's 50/50.

[raptor517]

[ QUOTE ]
nah, just saying we did. playing you heads up is a long term waste of time for both of us. it's 50/50.

[/ QUOTE ]

its at least 50.1/49.9 in my favor. holla

[Daliman]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
why would you play this hand when your not desperate, but pass the other when you are? I'm missing something.

[/ QUOTE ]

Because here shorty is so desperate, and the big stack so loose that I love this chance to change the scenery.

In the other hand I would need to be awfully desperate, and awfully live to call a push from somebody that doesn't need chips.

Irieguy

[/ QUOTE ]

So you would almost never call a push from a big stack is what you are saying? Or do you just mean in this specific instance?

Damn doctors. Their handwriting isn't the only thing obtuse about them.

[Roman]

lets go, 15/30 NL?