A Special One Time Offer!!!

[dsm]

[Zygote]

[ QUOTE ]
But I do stand on my previous statement that most of those who do take you up on your offer will be a favorite over you. So if you're so anxious to lay me 11-to-10, let me bet on some of those players with those odds.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why don't you stake Sklansky then? Or stake the amount he isn't willing to gamble with. The person who follows a non-self-weighting strategy shoots big when he knows he has the best of it.

I know i've oversimplified this, but wanted to run the idea by you.

[MCS]

[ QUOTE ]
By the way, I'm literally crushed with publishing work

[/ QUOTE ]

Yikes!

[csuf_gambler]

mr. negrenu would crush all these h0es

[-Skeme-]

Daniel Baldwin

[SoftcoreRevolt]

Well now we know why he can't stake David, he's trapped under a mountain of manuscripts.

WHY DOESN'T SOMEONE HELP HIM?

And how'd he get internet access.

[HelloGoodbye]

Great to see not much has changed with you over the years.

[dogmeat]

Jeez, Mason, I don't think Daniel's challenge is silly. He is offering to play you because he considers it a good bet. Pretty simple. Maybe he wanted to see if you were willing to say he would be a slight favorite, and you were big enough to do that. Good for you. Nothing wrong with passing on what you consider a bad bet. However, saying you are too busy to play for an evening, that's pushing it.

Dogmeat [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

[citanul]

[ QUOTE ]
However, saying you are too busy to play for an evening, that's pushing it.

Dogmeat [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Hm, not really so much...

Let's say that he believes that he would in fact be a 1% favorite or 2% favorite against Dan N in a game of MM's choice, and that he's willing to play him for 100k as his maximum. That means that the bet would have EV (ignoring the cashback incentive being offered) of somewhere between $1,000 and $2,000. Something tells me that being sure to get his book out on time is worth quite a bit more than that to him at the moment. Possibly even on a "per day" basis, until the book is to the printer. I'm not sure exactly what MM stands to make from the release of the upcoming book, but if it's less than $60,000 or so I'd be pretty shocked.

citanul

[TransientR]

Daniel,

Why don't you yourself find someone to take a piece of David or Mason (maybe Steve Wynn)? Since neither of them want to play for 100K even with the spot. Of course since David says he won't play at the Wynn out of respect for the Bellagio, and Mason says he is too busy, even that probably wouldn't work.

I do find that these two renowned poker theoreticians talking like heads-up poker is some kind of an alien thing to them to strain credulity.

Best of luck with your future contests.

Frank