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  #31  
Old 04-13-2005, 04:48 PM
cold_cash cold_cash is offline
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Default Re: Let\'s talk about river bets

If he's passive he might not raise with top pair.
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  #32  
Old 04-13-2005, 04:54 PM
cold_cash cold_cash is offline
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Default Re: Let\'s talk about river bets

[ QUOTE ]
So if you check-call, what hands is a passive opponent betting on that river that you're beating when you call?

[/ QUOTE ]

This is a good question.

I think he will bet with an Ace pretty high percentage of the time (although we're chopping if that's the case), and he would probably bet a Queen another small percentage of the time.

He would also call with an Ace. I'm not sure he would call with a Queen, although he probably would since he called the turn bet.
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  #33  
Old 04-13-2005, 05:02 PM
DeathbySuckout DeathbySuckout is offline
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Default Re: Let\'s talk about river bets

I guess this just goes against my nature to raise and see where I stand.
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  #34  
Old 04-13-2005, 05:16 PM
cold_cash cold_cash is offline
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Default Re: Let\'s talk about river bets

I understand, but we have to think about the way he might play his hand, not the way we would play it.
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  #35  
Old 04-13-2005, 05:25 PM
charlie_t_jr charlie_t_jr is offline
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Default Re: Let\'s talk about river bets

[ QUOTE ]
In other words I guess he's pretty much an unknown.

[/ QUOTE ]

A 50/1 unknown, I may bet...an unknown 2/4, I'd check...
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  #36  
Old 04-13-2005, 05:38 PM
Maurader1 Maurader1 is offline
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Default Re: Let\'s talk about river bets

so what are the better hands that you could make fold
a Kx will raise as would a flush...
I think a AK/AQ/trips would have raised on the turn, even for a passive...
And if he has a worse hand, he'd probably fold on the completed flush
So I'd say check/fold, as you are probably beat if the passive bets (and your read is correct enough)
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