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#31
03-02-2005, 03:29 PM
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Re: Worst downswing for a winning player.
I WAS EVEN IN 1966 [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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#32
03-02-2005, 03:29 PM
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Re: Worst downswing for a winning player.
[ QUOTE ]
No winning player playing well can go 40 SNGs without cashing. You are either not a winning player or were on complete tilt. [/ QUOTE ] I have to agree. 14 in a row is my record at the 200's, although the last 10 Step 5's I've played, I have no cashes, which goes 4 deep, with 6 5ths. I never thought that was possible. Anyways, I had a 9300 downturn at the 200's, that's my worst.
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#33
03-02-2005, 03:32 PM
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Re: Worst downswing for a winning player.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] No winning player playing well can go 40 SNGs without cashing. [/ QUOTE ] Why not? Could a winning player go 20 in a row without a cash? I have. Gramps has. Anybody who's played a few thousand SNGs has. If you can go 20 in a row, you can go 20 in a row twice. Irieguy [/ QUOTE ] This surprises me from you. The difference in magnitude between the two from a "winning" player is like the difference between the 2 foot hill in my backyard and mount everest.
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#34
03-02-2005, 03:34 PM
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Re: Worst downswing for a winning player.
[ QUOTE ]
My gut tells me that if you cash even 30% of the time, then the odds are well over 1 in a billion that you can go 40 in a row without cashing. [/ QUOTE ] Gee, too bad no one in this thread has already figured this out... [ QUOTE ] If you only place 30% of the time, it's 1.5M:1 against for 40 and 1250:1 for 20. [/ QUOTE ]
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#35
03-02-2005, 05:33 PM
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Re: Worst downswing for a winning player.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] No winning player playing well can go 40 SNGs without cashing. [/ QUOTE ] Why not? Could a winning player go 20 in a row without a cash? I have. Gramps has. Anybody who's played a few thousand SNGs has. If you can go 20 in a row, you can go 20 in a row twice. Irieguy [/ QUOTE ] Say you make the money 40% of the time. If you play a set of 40 the odds against you losing all of them are around 750,000,000:1. (1 / 0.6^40 = 750M.) For 20 it's more like 25,000:1. If you only place 30% of the time, it's 1.5M:1 against for 40 and 1250:1 for 20. Such a streak is clearly more likely as you play more SNGs, but I'd be surprised to see anyone here lose 40 in a row. [/ QUOTE ] i heard somewhere, probably 2+2, that actionmonkey lost 27K at one point in Party's $1000 Steps. i can't recall if this meant 27 straight OOTMs or down 27K for his day/session.
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#36
03-02-2005, 05:43 PM
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Re: Worst downswing for a winning player.
[ QUOTE ]
I kinda moved over to stars to play the 5/10 and 10/20 nl cash games and HU sngs (usually 1ks). Sometimes I mix it up and play a sng on stars for 300-1k. I kinda got really bored with sngs. I personally find nl ring game more interesting, although the action is definitely not as fast. I moved some cash over to party though when i saw the new ring games on there, so I may play a few sngs for fun. -Jason [/ QUOTE ] 5/10 and 10/20NL? 1K HU SNGs? Party's $215s must have been very good to you. any thoughts of going back to them? what about their $1065 Steps?
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