On the Bubble - intereting puzzle

[sofere]

How would your responses differ if BB had you covered by 1-2 BBs? You have BB covered by 1-2 BBs?

[HoldingFolding]

It's easier to extrapolate to a large number of SNGs. BB won't call your all in unless he has a premium hand. In another thread someone calculated this as close to 5% - and that's being generous. That's what makes this such an effective play in the long run.

Even if you get called you probably have at least 40% chance of doubling up, giving you a much higher probility of reaching 1st or 2nd (respectively quadruple and twice the profitability of 3rd remember).

These threads usually exist because the person got knocked out and thinks they might have made a mistake. Everyone recalls the time BB turned over AA, but no-one remembers the numerous times they picked up the blinds, the small stack got knocked out and they went on to get 1st or 2nd - and of course no-one starts threads of that ilk either.