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#32
03-27-2005, 04:20 PM
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Re: $30+3 - Very difficult bubble hand
if he is a VERY tight player and only opens with Group 1 hands then fine, i'd call and play the flop as it should be played. though while 4-tabling its quite hard to get reads like this all the time. i push this 90% of time time or more and it works quite well...its late tourney, i'd say they'll fold 1/2 the time, call 25% of the time with a had i destroy and call 20% of the time with a hand i'm a coin-flip to, and then there is that 5% of the time i'm destroyed.
I'll take those odds. Degen 
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#34
03-27-2005, 10:48 PM
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Re: $30+3 - Very difficult bubble hand
[ QUOTE ]
if you think it will A: give you the win or B: put you out...and if you think these two options are equally likely...it should be an easy call. [/ QUOTE ] So now you're supporting a call rather than a push?
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#35
03-27-2005, 10:49 PM
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Re: $30+3 - Very difficult bubble hand
[ QUOTE ]
even if 50% of the hands he calls you with are pairs, and you end up being in a coinflip situation--- consider what percentage of the time he folds? [/ QUOTE ] Well, you give me the percentage of the time he folds, and I'll do the ICM numbers.
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#36
03-27-2005, 10:59 PM
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Re: $30+3 - Very difficult bubble hand
[ QUOTE ]
if he is a VERY tight player and only opens with Group 1 hands then fine, i'd call and play the flop as it should be played. though while 4-tabling its quite hard to get reads like this all the time. i push this 90% of time time or more and it works quite well...its late tourney, i'd say they'll fold 1/2 the time, call 25% of the time with a had i destroy and call 20% of the time with a hand i'm a coin-flip to, and then there is that 5% of the time i'm destroyed. I'll take those odds. Degen [/ QUOTE ] Group 1 hands? There is no one on this planet that will only open with group 1 hands in a 4 handed game here.
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#37
03-28-2005, 09:43 AM
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Re: $30+3 - Very difficult bubble hand
LOL then there is no one on this planet i would not push all-in right here...its a $30 tourney for chrissake...you either take the pot as it stands, double up and win or you lose.
Next tourney please. Degen
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#40
03-28-2005, 10:02 AM
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Re: $30+3 - Very difficult bubble hand
I would have pushed as well. Although calling seems like a reasonable play and the arguments above have almost persuaded me to change my mind. The question is certainly more confounding than at first glance.
Scuba, I lost two huge hands w/ <font color="red"> A</font>nna <font color="red"> K</font>ournikova in a multi this weekend. She looks good, but doesn't win as often as we'd like!
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