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#31
09-14-2005, 01:49 PM
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Re: $100k in \'05 (brag and commentary)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Having the c/r stat handy makes it a lot easier to bet for value in position. [/ QUOTE ] Also you can use it to determine whether to fire the second barrel unimproved. Allows you to release to crs easier because there are some people with a cr % that is really low. Krishan [/ QUOTE ] any idea how many hands you need for it to be meaningful? 
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#34
09-14-2005, 01:57 PM
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Re: $100k in \'05 (brag and commentary)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Having the c/r stat handy makes it a lot easier to bet for value in position. [/ QUOTE ] Also you can use it to determine whether to fire the second barrel unimproved. Allows you to release to crs easier because there are some people with a cr % that is really low. Krishan [/ QUOTE ] any idea how many hands you need for it to be meaningful? [/ QUOTE ] Just put it up and take a look at it from time to time. Truthfully I imagine it doesn't converge until 200-400 hands. But if you get a player with 60 hands that is 80/8/.5 and a cr of .6 than you can rely on it. On the other hand, you will get people that are 50/30/3 with cr% of 3.3 and you can be pretty sure that their choice move to push you off hands is going to be a check raise. If someone check raises between 1.2 and 2.2 I basically ignore it. I'm looking for the extremes which become statistically significant over smaller samples (especially when combined with other stats that are inline with the overall profile) Krishan
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#35
09-14-2005, 02:01 PM
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I\'d make 100K if I could turn this good too......
.....this is a spite post. Hock is BB.
Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. UTG calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB 3-bets</font>, UTG calls, Hero calls. Flop: (9.50 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, UTG folds, Hero calls. Turn: (5.75 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB 3-bets</font>, Hero calls. River: (11.75 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, Hero calls. Final Pot: 13.75 BB Hock shows 99. Meh. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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#36
09-14-2005, 02:02 PM
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Re: I\'d make 100K if I could turn this good too......
A little luck never hurts.
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#38
09-14-2005, 02:09 PM
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Re: $100k in \'05 (brag and commentary)
It's pretty close. A call may have been better. But my thinking was this: I'm not folding. Pot's big already and I have 3 clean outs to the nuts. So with a raise I figured there's an outside chance I can clean up outs (although on reflection that's highly unlikely here) and I may well fold out a medium pocket pair and I may be able to get a free card on the turn. Plus it improves my implied odds because it disguises my hand (although on this particular board that's probably not a big factor).
The principle, though, is that in big pots throwing in an extra bet, especially on a SB street can pay dividends.
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#39
09-14-2005, 02:12 PM
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Re: $100k in \'05 (brag and commentary)
[ QUOTE ]
The principle, though, is that in big pots throwing in an extra bet, especially on a SB street can pay dividends. [/ QUOTE ] The principle is sound. This is a pretty bad spot to execute it. Krishan
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