AK hand 200+15

[Jason Strasser]

I'm not going to raise to 100 and fold many hands, but AK and AQ might be two of them. That small reraise is a bit scary. If he wont pay you off if you outflop a big pair then you should probably fold.

On the flop I mean there is a tiny chance you are ahead, right? I think its a fine play probably close enough to EV neutral where you just can open up a new table comfortably when you lose.

-Jason

My thoughts:

I liked the preflop call, 150 into 400 is good enough to make the call with AK, and the 150 isn't over 1/4 of your stack.

I've already read how the hand ended, but I still don't like the flop call. I'd put the guy on a set or an overpair,but either way you're behind in the hand. You can factor in pot odds here and say you're getting the right price, but you neglected to consider "stack odds". How much of your stack are you going to risk when you know your behind in the hand? In this case, well over 90%, which means I would need much better odds than your getting.

I look at pot odds differently in trnys than I do in cash games. I never use "stack odds" in cash games, because they're about making correct decisions that are +EV in the long run, and the times you miss you simply rebuy. Trnys are more about survival, which means the long run shouldn't be as much a factor in your decision making. Instead, focus on surviving by getting your chips in as the favorite. You clearly know your behind in the hand (or you should), and losing this hand would severely cripple you, so I would fold and find a better spot to get my chips in.

[Newt_Buggs]

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but very few solid players will have the above stats and solid players are going to reraise here with stronger hands on average than worse players.

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Oh yeah?
-Jason

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On average, a player like Gramps or Gamboholic_ is going to have a tighter hand range when reraising me in level 2 than an average $22 donk trying his luck at a $215.

[raptor517]

that looks fine nick, i dont mind it at all. holla