Confused on my flopped set?? - Page 3

HolyBejeesus · #21 08-10-2005, 05:17 PM

I agree that checkraising is best here. One thing that we can't forget is that button is coming along too. For a checkraise to be profitable, you only have to be good here 33% of the time. Variance God already established that we are good about 66% of the time, with which I agree. In addition, checkraising gets more bets in than bet-calling (since you will only get raised when you are behind).

Also, if you are going to bet-call, you're better off check-calling. The OP said that the bettor was going to bet this river 99% of the time, and betting only opens you up to being raised. Check-calling gets the same amount in when you are ahead and less in when you are behind.

shant · #22 08-10-2005, 05:24 PM

I like a river checkraise because of our homeboy the button and his overcalls.

W. Deranged · #23 08-10-2005, 05:34 PM

I think we're ahead on bet 2 but not on bet 3. So I don't want only one bet going in. I just want 2.

Entity · #24 08-10-2005, 06:39 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I think we're ahead on bet 2 but not on bet 3. So I don't want only one bet going in. I just want 2.

[/ QUOTE ]

You're giving too much credit for Button finding a fold here. Often we can get a significant discount by checkraising this river.

Rob

HolyBejeesus · #25 08-10-2005, 07:47 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I think we're ahead on bet 2 but not on bet 3. So I don't want only one bet going in. I just want 2.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree that it sucks if we get threebet. But if we lead and he raises, it sucks just as much, and two bad side effects: possibly folding out button, and putting fewer bets into the pot while we think we are ahead.