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-EV a profitable situation?
Hey guys
OK, this hand comes from tonight's super with 45 players left. I've got two big stacks situatated on my immediate left, meaning I hardly ever get to steal. I've got about average stack with 22k. ***** Hand History for Game 2408900321 ***** NL Texas Hold'em Trny:14168654 Level:14 Blinds (1000/2000) - Saturday, July 23, 02:41:30 EDT 2005 Table Friday Special(394235) Table #2 (Real Money) Seat 5 is the button Total number of players : 9 Seat 1: mrn74 ( $9650 ) Seat 2: jpnow ( $15394 ) Seat 4: RagingDeuces ( $22364 ) Seat 6: CivicHtchGSR ( $29494 ) Seat 3: jrwizzle ( $9134 ) Seat 7: sweetdjam ( $13140 ) Seat 10: RoadKillJr ( $6520 ) Seat 5: UFOFORFUN ( $34906 ) Seat 8: stoopidmutha ( $8286 ) Trny:14168654 Level:14 Blinds (1000/2000) ** Dealing down cards ** Dealt to RagingDeuces [ As 8d ] stoopidmutha folds. RoadKillJr folds. mrn74 folds. jpnow folds. jrwizzle folds. RagingDeuces raises [7000]. UFOFORFUN raises [20000]. Ok, so here I've got a decision. I put my opponent on anything from A2-AK, any pocket pair, or maybe even a possible resteal with less than that (looks like a perfect opportunity for him to be restealing here. Whether I'm ahead here or not, I can't be sure... leaning towards not. However, if I do win this showdown, I've got close to 45K in chips and will be able to push people around. The stacks on my left will now have to be cautious of me, not visa versa. If I fold here, I'll have only 15k and still have to worry about the bigstacks on my left. My question to you: Do you think this is a situation to risk it, even if it may be slightly -EV, due to greater benefits if I win? Mistaken |
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