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View Poll Results: tstone's inauguration
he may be a stupid motherf***er, but hes one great poster! 34 57.63%
i voted smart, and boy is he funny. 25 42.37%
Voters: 59. You may not vote on this poll

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  #21  
Old 05-18-2005, 08:13 PM
valenzuela valenzuela is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 453
Default Re: The damn bubble again.

If a player has never min-raised before a fold aint unbeliable.
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  #22  
Old 05-18-2005, 09:26 PM
curtains curtains is offline
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Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 240
Default Re: The damn bubble again.

[ QUOTE ]
If a player has never min-raised before a fold aint unbeliable.

[/ QUOTE ]

Cmon man have you never seen a medium stack make a small raise so that if the big stack comes over the top he can fold, yet he can play against the smaller stacks?
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  #23  
Old 05-18-2005, 09:29 PM
valenzuela valenzuela is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 453
Default Re: The damn bubble again.

the thing is you have 0 FE,ill try ICM before I keep defending my position.
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  #24  
Old 05-18-2005, 09:33 PM
valenzuela valenzuela is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 453
Default Re: The damn bubble again.

JJ needs to win..56% of the time..oh well I was wrong.
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  #25  
Old 05-18-2005, 11:06 PM
Blarg Blarg is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 1,519
Default Re: The damn bubble again.

You've got great fold equity against the blinds, because they have to consider that they're not just challenging one guy, but both of you. So a great deal of the time you're only seeing the blinds play if they have extremely good hands and are basically just up against the original bettor.
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  #26  
Old 05-18-2005, 11:08 PM
valenzuela valenzuela is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 453
Default Re: The damn bubble again.

I mean againt UTG, but yeah I thought I needed like a 65% chance of winning with JJ to make the push profitable.
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  #27  
Old 05-19-2005, 05:30 AM
raptor517 raptor517 is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 7
Default Re: The damn bubble again.

[ QUOTE ]
TT is a clear fold and QQ is a clear push but JJ is right on the border line.


[/ QUOTE ]

99 MIGHT be a clear fold, TT is DEFINITELY NOT a clear fold. JJ is a CLEAR PUSH. TT i would push probably 60% of the time. you cant exactly sneak when you have the same stack as the BB. i still dont even think 99 would be all too clear of a fold here. you DO have some FE here. not a LOT, but enough to not rule it out completely. holla
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  #28  
Old 05-19-2005, 05:59 AM
HC5831 HC5831 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 18
Default Re: The damn bubble again.

[ QUOTE ]
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) converter

BB (t890)
UTG (t1435)
Hero (t900)
SB (t4775)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J, J.
UTG raises to t400, Hero ?

[/ QUOTE ]

auto-push

HC
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  #29  
Old 05-19-2005, 11:58 AM
pooh74 pooh74 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 316
Default Re: The damn bubble again.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
TT is a clear fold and QQ is a clear push but JJ is right on the border line.


[/ QUOTE ]

99 MIGHT be a clear fold, TT is DEFINITELY NOT a clear fold. JJ is a CLEAR PUSH. TT i would push probably 60% of the time. you cant exactly sneak when you have the same stack as the BB. i still dont even think 99 would be all too clear of a fold here. you DO have some FE here. not a LOT, but enough to not rule it out completely. holla

[/ QUOTE ]

Im pushing down to 99 here...What does EB's tool say about increasing likelihood of getting a finish higher than 3rd? Is it only based on chip equity's linear relationship to $ equity? What about stack size doubling's correlation with increased FE in order to steal more blinds and its correlation with higher finishes?

chirp* chirp*

PUSH...this falls out of the ICM.
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