99 on scary board

[flair1239]

[ QUOTE ]
if a player comes out and bets somewhere in the hand, ill give him a line of logic. if he is just calling then i assume he is holding 2 cards with a 13x13 probability of likelyhood.

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't want to Hijack here. It has been a while since I looked back on my 3/6 stats. But I think the "average" player statisically was like a 28/5/X.

Also when I accumulated enough notes (I don't datamine), most of the tables featured 4-5 Tx-x types. So I don't think I am to far off assigning random unknown players some minimal level of poker intelligence.

Also the villan in this hand bet the flop.

[Chris Dow]

[ QUOTE ]
if a player comes out and bets somewhere in the hand, ill give him a line of logic. if he is just calling then i assume he is holding 2 cards with a 13x13 probability of likelyhood.

[/ QUOTE ]

Definitely not wrong TStone. I would only argue from there about how many of the 13x13 combinations he can hit the call button with again and that you'll still beat. I think squeezing value bets out on the river when checked to when it looks like you can't value bet is a very important part of beating these low limits soundly. That said, in this spot I'm going to need to know that this guy will crying call more often than the average player for me to bet here.

This opinion would go right out the window if I thought the average player will call with the queen high busted flush draw.

[BigEndian]

I say thbbbbpt! to results posts.

- Jim

[flair1239]

[ QUOTE ]
I say thbbbbpt! to results posts.

- Jim

[/ QUOTE ]

[flair1239]

[ QUOTE ]

This opinion would go right out the window if I thought the average player will call with the queen high busted flush draw.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree, if the read was "complete fish" or "obvious calling station", then my answer would be "bet". But with an unknown player, I check.

[DMBFan23]

he's gotta at least tell us whether he bet (if you hadn't outed him), but whether or not the dude called is whatever.

[Carmine]

The only time I would bet this river is when when I click on the player notes already made on this player and they say exactly this:
CD W/btm. pr. or CD W/Q high
VAL. BET EVTIME!!

No worse hand calls here. If he is an unknown that falls into the above description missing this one bet is not going to be a big deal. There will be many more bets coming your way from him.

[TripleH68]

I guess SB put you on exactly AK. [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

SB was taking a good line if he was planning on smooth calling the flop and c-r the turn, but the ace scared him off.

[bobbyi]

[ QUOTE ]
no stats, playerview is broken yet again. this blows. i would donate $500 to playerview's owner if he would just get me a working copy this month.

[/ QUOTE ]
For only $350 I'll give you an url where you can download gametime+ for free. You save $150.

Playerview doesn't work for me anymore either. GT+ has been working great.

[CallMeIshmael]

I like a river check, but the second king makes it very very close.

Any read at all might change it.


Also, get gametime+