HU Strategy

[RacersEdge]

What's ICM - some kind of Monte Carlo simulator?

Anyway, I calculated that pushing has a positive chip EV. Assuming your pushes get called 30% of the time, it's like a 675 chip EV.

The thing I'm thinking of is the variance - in this case about a 15% chance your chips go from 4500 to 1300. If you can have a strategy that trades EV for downside risk, it might be more optimal - and that strategy obviously is a function of the style of play of your opponent.

[rachelwxm]

Indenpendent chip model.
I agree positive EV with a huge variance here, but if your opponent start to pushing hands like K3o, not calling it create a big disavantage for you.

[rachelwxm]

Thanks. and simply because my ICM calculator is so easy to use does not mean that there is no easy calculation. Good point! [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

[AA suited]

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Note that this analysis is for the best strategy in the sense that the smallest edge can be gained against it no matter what your opponent does.

That is very different from "best" in the sense of winning the most against a given opponent's strategy. Putting your opponent on a strategy and adjusting to him/it is where the big equity lies. Not in playing in a static way where you're guaranteed not to be more than a 2% dog (which is what the 70/30 strategy is). But if you're clueless, it's a good starting point. (not suggesting either you or the OP are clueless.)

eastbay

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what 70/30 strategy??? you mean push with top 70% hands and call top 30%?