#21
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Re: A turn and river dilemma (possibly boring)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] unlikely to donk on a coordinated board without something good [/ QUOTE ] This is the crux of the matter IMO. What worse hand can you expect him to have here? He's got to be pretty dumb to donk anything less than a straight. I call/call. [/ QUOTE ] sorry, I should have been more specific...I meant something good as in TP+. He would donk a 9 or 2 pair here every time. |
#22
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Re: A turn and river dilemma (possibly boring)
Anyways, Here's the results.
5/10 6-max (6-handed)on Party. folded to SB who completes and I raise A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] in BB. Flop: K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] SB bets, I raise, SB calls. Turn: T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] SB bets, I call. River: T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] SB bets, I call Villain turns Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and MHING |
#23
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Re: A turn and river dilemma (possibly boring)
[ QUOTE ]
MHING [/ QUOTE ] What does this stand for? |
#24
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Re: A turn and river dilemma (possibly boring)
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[ QUOTE ] MHING [/ QUOTE ] What does this stand for? [/ QUOTE ] My hand is no good |
#25
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Re: A turn and river dilemma (possibly boring)
[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, good analysis boz. I thought the same thing. The only thing I don't agree with is: [ QUOTE ] If it pairs the board, check behind. [/ QUOTE ] This guy is too dumb to c/r. I have never seen him c/r and he has had some good hands. he always leads with them. If he checks to me I am betting for value. [/ QUOTE ] Makes sense. |
#26
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Re: A turn and river dilemma (possibly boring)
Cool, thanks.
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#27
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Re: A turn and river dilemma (possibly boring)
Ok I set up a reasonable range, TT-99, A2s+, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, 92s+, A2o+, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o, 92o+, that you have 68.7% equity against. This is 339 combos.
There are also 28 more possible flush combos that we have to include. So your total equity figures to be about 63-64% in this spot. With this it looks to be close between just calling and raising the river or raising now. I dunno but this hand is tough dude. I don't know what I'd do at the table, but I would try to find a raise somewhere in here. Good post. |
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