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#1
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Re: 10/20 Q9s
Good investigation by the way. I would have done the same if I was any good at math, I'll let the math wiz take care of the numbers from here on.
If the pot was HU it really depends who we are playing against. The only reason why I'd want to raise on the turn HU is so he knows that I'm aggressive and that I'm willing to push here with a semi-marginal hand with a big draw, trying to build a aggressive image I guess. I don't think we can fold many hands on the turn though, I'm sure anyone who has a T will the raise. I better bluff would be an A/Kc, I think more players are willing to fold when those cards flops. |
#2
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Re: 10/20 Q9s
if mp2 is loose post and has a T he wont want to fld it very much which is good. That being said, you have a pair and a strt-flsh draw, so you are huge. You are huge. I like teh aggro
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#3
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Re: 10/20 Q9s
Very nice work. I don't get why people want to raise this turn. It's aggressive and all and thats great, but calling is much more profitable unless you kick up your assumption of fold equity a good notch.
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#4
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Re: 10/20 Q9s
About as standard as it gets (postflop anyways).
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#5
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Re: 10/20 Q9s
Seems to me if UTG is passive you're not getting 3-bet very often which is probably good since you'll be HU some of the time after the raise but your hand is almost never good as is...even to the point that you can't call a river bet without the turn raise...which makes the raise seem a bit pointless. Sure you may have a hair more than 1/3 equity and might make be making a theoretical fraction of a bet if MP2 coldcalls but you know he'll overcall almost always if you just call. Getting led into again on the river is also nice when you catch. I don't like it. I don't think it's really that bad given your equity but calling certainly seems to have a higher expectation.
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#6
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Re: 10/20 Q9s
Would UTG bet out this turn if he just picked up a flush draw? If he would, I like the raise because you likely have him beat; if you don't, you have plenty of outs. Also, the turn raise may get MP2 to fold a pair of Ts.
But, if UTG would only bet a made hand here, then I think I'd prefer just calling the turn. |
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