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#11
12-14-2005, 02:15 PM
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Re: AA coordinated board
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[ QUOTE ] There is 75 in the pot and I have 130. I would be happy to get villain to fold an open ended or a straightdraw plus pair. [/ QUOTE ] [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] Don't you prefer to have him call your bet/push with incorrect odds to chase rather than fold [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] If he has an open ended, he has pretty good odds to call. If he has an open ended plus pair, he is a slight dog to AA andwillprobably call the push. 
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#12
12-14-2005, 02:31 PM
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Re: AA coordinated board
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If he has an open ended, he has pretty good odds to call. If he has an open ended plus pair, he is a slight dog to AA andwillprobably call the push. [/ QUOTE ] TP and OESD, sure he's getting odds but you can't help that with your stack size: http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1403937 pokenum -h ac as - jd qh -- 9h td js Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Js Td 9h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV As Ac 536 54.14 442 44.65 12 1.21 0.547 Jd Qh 442 44.65 536 54.14 12 1.21 0.453 Without TP, this is a no-brainer: pokenum -h ac as - ad qh -- 9h td js Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Js Td 9h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV As Ac 663 66.97 303 30.61 24 2.42 0.682 Ad Qh 303 30.61 663 66.97 24 2.42 0.318
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#13
12-14-2005, 05:13 PM
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Re: AA coordinated board
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If he has an open ended, he has pretty good odds to call. If he has an open ended plus pair, he is a slight dog to AA andwillprobably call the push. [/ QUOTE ] TP and OESD, sure he's getting odds but you can't help that with your stack size: http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1403937 pokenum -h ac as - jd qh -- 9h td js Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Js Td 9h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV As Ac 536 54.14 442 44.65 12 1.21 0.547 Jd Qh 442 44.65 536 54.14 12 1.21 0.453 Without TP, this is a no-brainer: pokenum -h ac as - ad qh -- 9h td js Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Js Td 9h cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV As Ac 663 66.97 303 30.61 24 2.42 0.682 Ad Qh 303 30.61 663 66.97 24 2.42 0.318 [/ QUOTE ] Right AQ can't call a push, but if I make a smaller raise or call and lead the turn I may be giving too good odds. QJ would call the push. If villain has Q-8, he has an open ended or pair. So why not force those hands out. If he has a strong draw or 2-pair he probably calls, but that is not a disaster. If he flopped a straight or set I am in trouble, but I lose a lot anyway.
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