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Old 12-01-2005, 06:46 PM
Spicymoose Spicymoose is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 146
Default Re: Betting a draw OOP

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If villain is a LAG, do you want to semi-bluff the flop OOP in a relatively small pot?

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Absolutely. I am betting this flop no matter who the opponent. We have strong equity, and there is a good chance we can win this immediately on the flop.

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It was only your description of villain as a LAG that made me question this because against most opponents I would certainly bet here.

Since I don't have Poker Stove at work I don't know your equity against villain's likely range of hands so mabe it is higher than I give it credit for.

However, against a LAG I greatly reduce the chance of picking up pots in general (although this is a small one so that chance goes up a bit) and increase the chance of getting raised (although the fact that LAG didn't raise PF means his hnad must be at th ebottom of his range). The reduced fold equity against this type of opponents and the increased risk of putting in more bets when your equity is less than fair share (which I have assumed but could be wrong; I will check later) makes this bet les attractive to me. I am not sure what the answer is but wanted to raise the issues that I saw.

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Even LAGs miss the flop and have to fold a bunch.
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