($33): Tough bubble decision with a shorty? - Page 2

Nick-Zack · #11 11-10-2005, 08:47 AM

I push this every time. A9 plays good against a random hand and even with your read I think that the BB will realize that the shortie is going bust quick and will fold a K.

#12 11-10-2005, 08:52 AM

I think I fold. Button can call loose as it won't hurt. SB calls maniac loose when that short and you said the BB is loose. As you don't have the usual equity from getting the blinds uncontested, I fold here. (though I don't think there's much in it.)

bennies · #13 11-10-2005, 08:55 AM

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Given your read that he calls with any A, any K, any PP, I think this is a push. If shortie doubles once, you're not a lock for third. If you double here, you stand a fair shot at first.

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Christ, you show a complete lack of understanding of ICM at all times. What the heck is your advice about? Seriously.

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Go tiger gogogo!

Here are some numbers. If BB really calls with any K (that's top 40%!) then you should fold, it's -0.2 according to SNGPT. However, as others have stated, BB might not be so foolish. If we put him on a calling range of top 25% instead (basically KT+, any A, any pair) we can push our A9o with +0.7.

Kristian · #14 11-10-2005, 08:56 AM

Borderline, but push.

zambonidrivr · #15 11-10-2005, 09:09 AM

What? This is the easiest shove of all time. You have moster FE against villian, and you have 3x bb. It's been folded to you and 1 left to act. Any ace here is a monster. Play for first!

bennies · #16 11-10-2005, 09:14 AM

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You have moster FE against villian

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Nope. Villain will not be hurt enough if he loses.

#17 11-10-2005, 09:15 AM

Yep. I misread your position. With only bb to act it's a push. Sorry. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

zambonidrivr · #18 11-10-2005, 09:27 AM

1/2 of stack is not hurt? ru nuts?

bennies · #19 11-10-2005, 09:33 AM

If BB folds he'll have 2200 chips. If he calls and loses he'll have 1500, the difference is not so great.

tigerite · #20 11-10-2005, 09:54 AM

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What? This is the easiest shove of all time. You have moster FE against villian, and you have 3x bb. It's been folded to you and 1 left to act. Any ace here is a monster. Play for first!

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Sigh..

This is a borderline push, it is certainly not "the easiest of all time". I would probably make it in the game, at the table, but be fearing (not welcoming) him calling with QJo and other such crap.