Blind stealing with A9

[Danenania]

That's your job. But I'll tell you I think it's definitely way too wide for you to be doing much folding on raggedy boards postflop.

[Spicymoose]

[ QUOTE ]
That's your job. But I'll tell you I think it's definitely way too wide for you to be doing much folding on raggedy boards postflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

A6s+, A8+, K7s+, K9+, Q8s+, QT+, JTs, 55+.

I guess you are right that I am ahead of quite a few of these, but I am also behind a bunch. Also, my read on villain isn't all that solid, and the tighter he gets (the more closer to the average player), the smaller his range becomes, and the more likely I am behind.

How bad a hand do you see to the river with a bunch of rags against this 3-bet? A2? K9?

Edit: Just thought of this, but as they continue to bet the flop, turn, and river, their range of hands narrows significantly towards hands that beat you. Although the pot is also getting bigger, so this may be a counter weight, but it seems like there should be some complicated math involved, and that this may not be such an easy call down....

I dunno, do other people think this is easy to call down? Or at least play back somewhere?

[Danenania]

I think his 3-betting range is probably a little bit wider but I'll use yours.


Board: 7s 8c 3d
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 46.2924 % 44.28% 02.02% { A9o }
Hand 2: 53.7076 % 51.69% 02.02% { 55+, A6s+, K7s+, Q8s+, JTs, A8o+, K9o+, QTo+ }

------------------------------------------------------

Board: 7s 8c 3d 2c
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 45.5288 % 43.08% 02.45% { A9o }
Hand 2: 54.4712 % 52.02% 02.45% { 55+, A6s+, K7s+, Q8s+, JTs, A8o+, K9o+, QTo+ }

-------------------------------------------------------

56,629,674 games 33.388 secs 1,696,108 games/sec

Board: 7s 8c 3d 2c 6s
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 44.2526 % 42.29% 01.96% { A9o }
Hand 2: 55.7474 % 53.79% 01.96% { 55+, A6s+, K7s+, Q8s+, JTs, A8o+, K9o+, QTo+ }


You are close to even money on this flop and getting about 13.5:5 on a call down. You're even better off than this though since you can raise flop to make him fold 6 outers on the turn. You'll also be able to get off cheap when he plays back at you. As you can see, folding is quite disastrous.