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#11
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Ok, I'm taking this a step further. I ran 'stove, pitting 72o against a single random hand and AA against a single random hand. I'm amazed to discover that 72o has 35% equity against a random hand! AA, otoh, has 85% equity. So, using your numbers, folding AA is going to cost you 17SB, playing 72o is potentially going to earn you 14SB, so folding AA is the bigger mistake. [/ QUOTE ] I was pretty amazed at AA only having 85% HU vs one other hand, so I ran some tests. It shows that the 6% strength difference between suited and unsuited hands is huge: KQ going from something like 19 down to something lik 13 suited vs unsuited. Also, if you are HU vs AA, you prefer to have 76o than KQo. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] --Dave. |
#12
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You should not be making EV calcs to do this, or folding aces will win by default (folding = zero EV). Rather, feel free to take a guess at the opportunity cost of each mistake. [/ QUOTE ] No, all EV calcs are relative. If EV(raise aces) - 0 > 0 - EV(raise 72o), then that would be an easy proof that folding AA is the worse play. |
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