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#11
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I called the turn. and folded UI on the river.
But I'm still not sure which is the right play. I'm leaning towards a fold mainly because BB is calling 2 cold, and he isnt a total fish. So i'm thinking some of our outs are discounted even if we arent up against a made straight. like the 5,9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] We could also be up against a set, as i can put 8's and 9's maybe even 6's within their PF CC range |
#12
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[ QUOTE ]
I called the turn. and folded UI on the river. But I'm still not sure which is the right play. I'm leaning towards a fold mainly because BB is calling 2 cold, and he isnt a total fish. So i'm thinking some of our outs are discounted even if we arent up against a made straight. like the 5,9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] We could also be up against a set, as i can put 8's and 9's maybe even 6's within their PF CC range [/ QUOTE ] You called closing the action on the river? What was the river card? I think if you're going to call the turn raise you should call a river blank (non-diamond) closing the action too. |
#13
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Easy fold. You said he is not tricky. You are drawing dead here. The overcall cinches the deal. LLL [/ QUOTE ] The overcall means nothing here on such a draw heavy board. [/ QUOTE ] I disagree, BBs call of a bet and raise indicates that he probably has at least 2 pair. So even if MP3 is only on a draw, you have to BOTH dodge the draw AND beat the 2 pair - same if its the other way around - none of which will be enough to win if either one has already made the straight. Easy fold. |
#14
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Easy fold. You said he is not tricky. You are drawing dead here. The overcall cinches the deal. LLL [/ QUOTE ] The overcall means nothing here on such a draw heavy board. [/ QUOTE ] I disagree, BBs call of a bet and raise indicates that he probably has at least 2 pair. So even if MP3 is only on a draw, you have to BOTH dodge the draw AND beat the 2 pair - same if its the other way around - none of which will be enough to win if either one has already made the straight. Easy fold. [/ QUOTE ] BB called two cold on a board that has two four flushes on it. His overcall is a fush draw more often than a made hand IMO. I am not saying a fold is terrible but what i am saying is the bb overcalling is not a good reason to be folding here. |
#15
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you called the turn and folded because you didn't hit a 2 outer? wha?!
don't call the turn if you're not going to call a river blank. but call the turn. just call a frickin' river blank. if a draw comes in, then you can exit. this is a great turn to semi-bluff raise... and it's an easy turn for someone to keep calling on. none of this means you're behind yet. if you think (and i think, correctly) that there's a chance you're still ahead on the turn, you've got to showdown if the situation doesn't change. |
#16
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Sean, I never said that the overcall is the only reason I fold here. But it has to be taken into consideration.
LLL |
#17
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right. which is why you fold if the river brings in any draws.
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#18
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right. which is why you fold if the river brings in any draws. [/ QUOTE ] I agree, I also agree that the turn call commits me to at least calling if the river is a blank. Knowing this, do I really want to call the turn? Do I want to commit for 2 BB's with this board and not being heads up? What percentage of the time will I be better than both of them? I fold the turn. LLL |
#19
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I'd fold the turn.
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#20
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i think you're giving up too much, because you're only committing to two more bets when the river is a scare card.
the turn has enough draws out there that outright bluffs, semi-bluffs, or value bets from worse hands with strong draws (say, a pair with a flushdraw and a gutshot) are all pretty likely. |
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