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Old 11-06-2005, 04:52 PM
Borodog Borodog is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: North Carolina
Posts: 5
Default Re: An AA offer

[ QUOTE ]
in your dreams you're paid a visit from the poker fairy who makes you an offer with two choices.

choice 1
for the remainder of your life you'll recieve AA twice as often as expected, but you will recieve all other pairs half as expected.

choice 2
for the remainder of your life your winrate with AA will be twice as much as expected, but your winrate for all other paris will be half of what is expected.

Which one is a better offer?

And are these choices +EV or -EV?

If -EV, what is the minimum correct ratio to make it +EV, if at all possible?

[/ QUOTE ]

There is no difference between the two propositions.

My PT DB shows the prop to be -EV, by about 10%. But I have been on a godawful jag with AA lately, and my AA winrate is seriously depressed because of it; this could definitely have an effect. My guess is that the prop is near breakeven.

A ratio of 3 is definitely +EV it appears.
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