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#11
10-25-2005, 02:04 AM
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Re: AA and I fold like I\'m Jason or something
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] only hands i can think of for this donk is 88 or 77 or maybe a retarded 2pair. also i cap the turn. [/ QUOTE ] T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] maybe, i think his range is way wider than that the more that i think about it [/ QUOTE ] I agree. Just offering some options. 
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#13
10-25-2005, 02:05 AM
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Re: AA and I fold like I\'m Jason or something
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Because I don't think your ahead. [/ QUOTE ] I think you're ahead of CO way more often than you're behind him. Rob [/ QUOTE ] right, and you're always ahead of MP, so just cap that [censored].
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#14
10-25-2005, 02:07 AM
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Re: AA and I fold like I\'m Jason or something
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Because I don't think your ahead. [/ QUOTE ] I think you're ahead of CO way more often than you're behind him. Rob [/ QUOTE ] I agree. CO likely had Kings or the like.
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#15
10-25-2005, 02:09 AM
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Re: AA and I fold like I\'m Jason or something
[ QUOTE ]
Getting 25-1 I'm folding this almost never. [/ QUOTE ] How often is Hero ahead of both MP2 and CO? It takes a much stronger hand to overcall the river than it does to call HU. And while I can construct scenarios where Hero is good here, I don't think it happens often enough to justify the overcall.
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#16
10-25-2005, 02:11 AM
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Re: AA and I fold like I\'m Jason or something
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Getting 25-1 I'm folding this almost never. [/ QUOTE ] How often is Hero ahead of both MP2 and CO? It takes a much stronger hand to overcall the river than it does to call HU. And while I can construct scenarios where Hero is good here, I don't think it happens often enough to justify the overcall. [/ QUOTE ] The way the hand played out I don't think overcalling really affects my decision too much here. I put CO squarely on 99-AA so I'm only worried about MP2.
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#17
10-25-2005, 02:13 AM
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Re: AA and I fold like I\'m Jason or something
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The way the hand played out I personally am not too worried about the overcall from CO. [/ QUOTE ] Meh....I agree, it looks like CO has another overpair. A set is possible, too. I just seriously doubt that Shant is good 1 in 25 times, between the two of them.
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#18
10-25-2005, 02:14 AM
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Re: AA and I fold like I\'m Jason or something
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I think you're ahead of CO way more often than you're behind him. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah I change my decision. I missed CO PF action. [i was eating McDonalds...Big Macs are good!] I now like the turn, capping it is fearless, but I'm not fearless. But I definately have to call down and lose. JT [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
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#19
10-25-2005, 02:19 AM
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Re: AA and I fold like I\'m Jason or something
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Getting 25-1 I'm folding this almost never. [/ QUOTE ] How often is Hero ahead of both MP2 and CO? It takes a much stronger hand to overcall the river than it does to call HU. And while I can construct scenarios where Hero is good here, I don't think it happens often enough to justify the overcall. [/ QUOTE ] The problem with this, I think, is that we usually have the CO beat. He appears to me to have Kings, although he could be overplaying Queens, have the case aces, or have us beat with a set. Overcalling after someone who you're pretty sure you had beat the whole way, and who's hand is unlikely to have improved, is almost like not overcalling here. I also can't fold closing the action where I only have to be good 3.7% of the time.
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#20
10-25-2005, 02:21 AM
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Re: AA and I fold like I\'m Jason or something
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] The way the hand played out I personally am not too worried about the overcall from CO. [/ QUOTE ] Meh....I agree, it looks like CO has another overpair. A set is possible, too. I just seriously doubt that Shant is good 1 in 25 times, between the two of them. [/ QUOTE ] I in all honesty can rarely declare any poker decision 96% sure. I wonder how you can claim this one is. I can't not call this river. I'd also probably decline to raise the turn.
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