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#11
10-17-2005, 06:40 PM
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Re: 88, river value bet?
[ QUOTE ]
With at least 3 TAGs out of 8 opponents, I'd say you could do better with table selection at the Party 2/4!! [/ QUOTE ] This was far from prime time. But I will try practicing good table selection in the future... 
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#12
10-17-2005, 07:29 PM
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Re: 88, river value bet?
As an alternate line I would actually much prefer calling the flop with the plan of raising a blank turn (folding to a 3-bet) and taking a free showdown. I don't like raising the flop because giving the kind of preflop aggresion BB has shown I think we will actually get 3-bet a significant portion of time and don't want to put myself in a position to fold the best hand. A turn raise will elicit a much more honest response IMO.
On to the river. I still think we have a value bet as I can't see a decent TAG (what his numbers point to) checking this river with a set or an over pair given that we have shown no aggresion throughout the hand. I think the 3rd club makes this a little closer, but given that AK will probably call here a large majority of the time we are losing value by not betting.
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#13
10-17-2005, 07:31 PM
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Re: 88, river value bet?
[ QUOTE ]
As an alternate line I would actually much prefer calling the flop with the plan of raising a blank turn (folding to a 3-bet) and taking a free showdown. I don't like raising the flop because giving the kind of preflop aggresion BB has shown I think we will actually get 3-bet a significant portion of time and don't want to put myself in a position to fold the best hand. A turn raise will elicit a much more honest response IMO. On to the river. I still think we have a value bet as I can't see a decent TAG (what his numbers point to) checking this river with a set or an over pair given that we have shown no aggresion throughout the hand. I think the 3rd club makes this a little closer, but given that AK will probably call here a large majority of the time we are losing value by not betting. [/ QUOTE ] I think that there are tons of players at the 2/4 level who would have Taggish looking numbers but totally puss out on the river. I think the fact that often we won't get called by AK is also a very important consideration.
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