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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] I would have to lose to both people to be down to 5BB. And I don't mind being behind to a pair of SB since there is 1100 in the pot to make up for it if sb folds. I'm running these numbers in pokerstove: Player 1: AQs Player 2: 22+/A2+/Broadway Player 3: 55+/A9+/KJ+ So far, I have a 39% equity against these two ranges when holding AQs [/ QUOTE ] I think you can open up button's range here, he could be trying to steal with anything better than Q9. Despite this assumption, if you are sure button will call, you have just slightly better than 2:1 on your money (3000 + 4000 + 400 = 7400 and it takes 3600 to call), which means you would have to win at least 49% of the time to make this call worth it. What could button and SB have that would make you a 50% favorite? If you call and button folds, you are getting 1.5:1 and would have to win more than 65% of the time to make a call worth it. Check my math on this, but I think it is a fold. MisterW [/ QUOTE ] I think your math is way off. Just knowing that if I get 1.5 to 1 on my money holding AQs vs that range of SB, I'd do it every day. And just on the range of sb, if button folds I'm have a 56% Equity on SB hand ranges. [/ QUOTE ] You are correct... my math is way off (I'm still trying to figure out the math stuff). Slightly better than 2:1 odds means you can win once and lose twice and still be ahead, meaning you need to be better than 33% to make this a call if you assume button will call. Heads up against SB (assuming button folds, which is likely), you only have to win 40% (1 win out of 2.5 tries) of the time to make this a call. Did I do my math right this time? I change my mind, looks like a good push with SB's range. I'm an engineer, I suck with numbers [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] MisterW |
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