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  #11  
Old 09-07-2005, 12:41 PM
amulet amulet is offline
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Default Re: No one answered the question?

not having a big stack, you lose the abilty to make a big raise to make some calls mathematically incorrect.

more importantly, if you are a winning player, you want more chips to win more chips. winning big pots on your big hands is worth more then any shortstack theory, IF you are good.
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  #12  
Old 09-07-2005, 12:53 PM
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Default Re: No one answered the question?

winning big pots on your big hands is worth more then any shortstack theory, IF you are good.

well, I don't believe in SHORT or DEEP... there is a middle ground. Short to me is 30 BB's... I don't play that short.

I have found my results to be very streaky (hot and cold deck)... I don't leave when my stack gets big -- I go for big win. So big upside and limited downside makes for asymmetric payoff profile (in options market speak). When I am getting cold-decked, it is much easier to keep playing aggressive when I lose 45 BB's and not 150+ BB's. It is psychological but I am big believer that avoiding TILT is so significant that it is worth doing things that minimize this factor... I am very good at stopping before I tilt and many others are not... I feel this is a significantly +EV edge. Admittedly, GOOD players are good at avoiding this too but I see others facing essentially impossible decisions all the time... You can say you are 'good' or 'not good' but sometimes (when playing No Limit only) NO player in the world knows what to do. You are just making guesses with very limited information -- it is just random variance...

Not to mention, if I am playing with total bozos and some joker sucks out on me, I can buy back in for more than I just lost and get it all-in again as big favorite... (last night I got stacked with my KK vs bozo's J9-suited all-in pre-flop ---- but bought back in for 1.5x usual buy-in and got it back and then some).
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  #13  
Old 09-07-2005, 01:02 PM
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Default Re: Big Draw faces Major Aggression

Villain 2 probably had a set/ a crooked two pair or top pair with a random kicker

you really think he bets $300 there with only top pair?
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  #14  
Old 09-07-2005, 02:21 PM
MTBlue MTBlue is offline
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Default Re: Big Draw faces Major Aggression

You've got to remember that I think he knows that I was trying to isolate you and that my hand probably couldn't stand significant heat(at least the last couple of my raises couldn't and I think he picked up on that). The min raise preflop he could have called with any two cards being in the big blind getting great odds on his money. With his read all he has to beat is you and often times the bet pot button is used for semibluffs and draws. I still think his most likely hand was big like two pair or a set but I also think there was a 10-15% chance that he figured both you and I were on a draw and he could take down the pot with a hand that could beat nothing.
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  #15  
Old 09-07-2005, 03:07 PM
autobet autobet is offline
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Default Re: Big Draw faces Major Aggression

Easy call.

You are getting almost 3-1 on your call. If you flush is good, you are better than 2-1 here with your gut shot. The overlay of pot odds more than compensate for the times your flush is not good.
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  #16  
Old 09-07-2005, 04:07 PM
amulet amulet is offline
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Default Re: No one answered the question?

if you are prone to tilt i guess it makes sense. however, if you are players who are "bozos" i think despite the times you lose to awful play, vs the advantage you have (if you are playing bozos) makes me think you should have a full stack.
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  #17  
Old 09-07-2005, 04:14 PM
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Default Re: No one answered the question?

the advantage you have (if you are playing bozos) makes me think you should have a full stack.

agree with that... but sometimes I think that the bozos will try to run over me with nothing BECAUSE of my smaller stack.... maybe they would try it also if I had a large stack but it seems to me like I am attracting bad play... I may be wrong though, I might be giving up value on those times...

there are tradeoffs... My (current) bankroll won't allow 25 full buy-ins at 2/4... I am trying for maximum bankroll growth and my theory is that 2/4 with mid-stack is superior to 1/2 with big stack (in terms of win-rate vs variance)... but I admit this is a bit of an experiment... when I get to 25 50-BB buy-in's for 5/10, I will again move up... I think... (ie, play 5/10 with $500 buy-in stack --- that is prolly many thousands of hands away though)...
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