#11
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Re: A Hand From TOP
[ QUOTE ]
An off color 69 or J may earn a bet fold from me [/ QUOTE ] That's what I said. I said check/folding is safe though. If your opponent isn't capable of semi-bluffing again you definitely bet/fold this. However, at the higher limits, as Sklansky's examples commonly come from, your opponents may be capable of that. I think since this hand came from the chapter on semi bluffing you are tainted into believing Villian is Semi Bluffing |
#12
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Re: A Hand From TOP
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] half the deck hurts you. [/ QUOTE ] Half the deck scares me, sort of. How could half the deck hurt me? [/ QUOTE ] You're correct, it just scares you. But half the deck makes this hand incredible difficult to play |
#13
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Re: A Hand From TOP
I don't see how playing "safe" is going to maximize EV.
The thing is Sklansky himself states that another semi-bluff on the turn here is something most players won't do. To be honest I completely forgot that it was the chapter on semi-bluffing. I simply made a mental note to come back to that hand later and post it. I 3-bet and bet almost any turn in most circumstances here, as I am on the more aggressive side. I gave my reasoning for the bet-fold on the turn (you don't know what kind of draw the opponent has, you don't risk giving a free card, you lose less when behind), as I thought check-fold was clearly not correct and check-calling makes us lose more when behind and win less when ahaed. |
#14
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Re: A Hand From TOP
[ QUOTE ]
You're correct, it just scares you. But half the deck makes this hand incredible difficult to play [/ QUOTE ] All the more reason to discuss this. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#15
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Re: A Hand From TOP
[ QUOTE ]
I don't see how playing "safe" is going to maximize EV. [/ QUOTE ] I offered the safe caveat after stating what I thought was correct. The caveat implied that the decision was close and you did not lose much EV in my opinion by folding. [ QUOTE ] I 3-bet and bet almost any turn in most circumstances here, as I am on the more aggressive side. [/ QUOTE ] That is absolutely spewing [ QUOTE ] I gave my reasoning for the bet-fold on the turn (you don't know what kind of draw the opponent has, you don't risk giving a free card, you lose less when behind) [/ QUOTE ] I don't think you understand, that this is not necessarily a semi-bluff. Your opponents hand range and flop raise makes you behind a lot of the time. You can't just always bet in these situations thinking to yourself that 1 BB is just expendable. |
#16
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Re: A Hand From TOP
[ QUOTE ]
I offered the safe caveat after stating what I thought was correct. The caveat implied that the decision was close and you did not lose much EV in my opinion by folding. [/ QUOTE ] Allright I'll take that as I don't know how much you're giving up here. [ QUOTE ] That is absolutely spewing [/ QUOTE ] Just curious, would you 3-bet if you had KT? [ QUOTE ] I don't think you understand, that this is not necessarily a semi-bluff. Your opponents hand range and flop raise makes you behind a lot of the time. You can't just always bet in these situations thinking to yourself that 1 BB is just expendable. [/ QUOTE ] We don't know the opponents hand range which I admit hurts the discussion. You honestly think you're behind most of the time when you get raised on a draw heavy flop, heads up, with top pair good kicker? I don't think the 1 BB is expendable, I'm betting the turn for value. He hits his draw on the turn barely 20% of the time. He could very well have top pair with a worse kicker or a PP lower than a T. He might even just have overcards. |
#17
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Re: A Hand From TOP
[ QUOTE ]
I offered the safe caveat after stating what I thought was correct. The caveat implied that the decision was close and you did not lose much EV in my opinion by folding. [/ QUOTE ] Allright I'll take that as I don't know how much you're giving up here. [ QUOTE ] That is absolutely spewing [/ QUOTE ] Just curious, would you 3-bet if you had KT? [ QUOTE ] I don't think you understand, that this is not necessarily a semi-bluff. Your opponents hand range and flop raise makes you behind a lot of the time. You can't just always bet in these situations thinking to yourself that 1 BB is just expendable. [/ QUOTE ] We don't know the opponents hand range which I admit hurts the discussion. You honestly think you're behind most of the time when you get raised on a draw heavy flop, heads up, with top pair good kicker? I don't think the 1 BB is expendable, I'm betting the turn for value. He hits his draw on the turn barely 20% of the time. He could very well have top pair with a worse kicker or a PP lower than a T. He might even just have overcards. [/ QUOTE ] |
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