#11
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Re: Set of 7\'s
92s. cap it.
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#12
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Re: Set of 7\'s
Cap it, what's an extra bet at this point, the pot is huge and you've won or the pot is huge and you've lost. You flopped a set, turned a full house, it's rare you lose these hands and on those occasions you do you can expect to lose alot on the hand.
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#13
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Re: Set of 7\'s
I'm curious, is this really that hard of a decision for you? Would you really lay this down instead of putting in one more bet? This is an easy cap IMO. You may lose to a bigger boat say, 5% of the time, but the rest of the time you'll be punishing him for overplaying his hand.
I just can't see laying this down. |
#14
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Re: Set of 7\'s
[ QUOTE ]
Cap it, what's an extra bet at this point, the pot is huge and you've won or the pot is huge and you've lost. You flopped a set, turned a full house, it's rare you lose these hands and on those occasions you do you can expect to lose alot on the hand. [/ QUOTE ] What the hell is this??? |
#15
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Re: Set of 7\'s
Grunch.
Cap and don't think twice. Villian probably has QJ, maybe the straight. Edit: on further reflection (and on reading the other posts), this hand range is too narrow. I wouldn't be completely surprised to see a slow-played QQ here, or maybe K10. |
#16
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Re: Set of 7\'s
I think T8 is the most likely holding.
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#17
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Re: Set of 7\'s
I think a cap seems alright, but it's not an easy decision as everyone is portraying it to be (i.e. I do not think he gives this action with QJ).
I think this is a pretty safe range for Villain, and as you can see if you include the *small* number of times he has QJ it pushes this to a cap, but just barely. Board: 9h 9d Jh 7s Qd Dead: equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1: 66.6667 % 66.67% 00.00% { 7c7d } Hand 2: 33.3333 % 33.33% 00.00% { Q9s, T8s, 97s, Q9o, T8o, 97o } |
#18
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Re: Set of 7\'s
[ QUOTE ]
If I'm in this hand then Villain has J9 99.2% of the time. I don't cap the river for sanity reasons. [/ QUOTE ] |
#19
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Re: Set of 7\'s
QJ seems like a good bet on the villain's hand considering flop and turn action, but I would tend to think he would just call the river after the board paired and you raised.
Q9 seems unlikely considering his unwillingness to reraise the flop, and his willingness to cap the turn. J9 seems possible but only if the villain is known to be aggressive, since he would have been betting out the flop with middle pair to a medium sized field. (Considering the OP's setup of the hand, which we'll try to ignore, this could be it.) T8 seems to make the most sense on all streets. Villain tried to bet out the flop and push away overcards or get odds to draw to his outside straight. He called down the flop reraise and his hand hit on the turn, betting it hard subsequently. |
#20
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Re: Set of 7\'s
I cap it as well.
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