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  #11  
Old 07-07-2005, 02:44 PM
A_PLUS A_PLUS is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 44
Default Re: a8s final table - push or fold?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Nah, the ICM I have only goes to 9 players. I will use a % of total chips * total money paid method

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actually you can use that and count 10th as 0. what are you using?

i think there were 230 to start.

[/ QUOTE ]

We could, but how would we account for the chips? % distribution?

got it from www.pokersoft.co.uk
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  #12  
Old 07-07-2005, 02:53 PM
schwza schwza is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2003
Posts: 113
Default Re: a8s final table - push or fold?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Nah, the ICM I have only goes to 9 players. I will use a % of total chips * total money paid method

[/ QUOTE ]

actually you can use that and count 10th as 0. what are you using?

i think there were 230 to start.

[/ QUOTE ]

We could, but how would we account for the chips? % distribution?

got it from www.pokersoft.co.uk

[/ QUOTE ]

hmm, can't download at work. i'm guessing you mean it only has chip slots for 9?

i thought it had many chip slots and only 9 pay slots, but in retrospect, that wouldn't really make any sense.
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  #13  
Old 07-07-2005, 03:07 PM
locutus2002 locutus2002 is offline
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Default Re: a8s final table - push or fold?

???
yes mean TEV
TEV(T20,000) >= 2 X TEV(T10,000)
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  #14  
Old 07-07-2005, 03:18 PM
A_PLUS A_PLUS is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 44
Default Re: a8s final table - push or fold?

[ QUOTE ]
Easy push.

Even on the loosest table you'll pick up the blinds frequently (1/2 to 2/3) . When you do get called you're ~50/50 to double up or go out, since the payoff is very top heavy this is CEV++.

[/ QUOTE ]

It is mathematically impossible to have a steal be succesful 1/2-2/3 of the time and have 50% equity vs. a call.

They work in opposite directions.

Also, (I know you understand this, but I dont want to confuse any newbioes)

Since the payout is top heavy, it is very +$EV

CEV (or TEV) is Tournament chip equity. It is calculated the same way as you calculate EV in a side game.

$EV is the amount of real world money you expect to win in a given situation. Many ways to calculate it, none are exact, ICM, and % equity are the most common that I know of.
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  #15  
Old 07-07-2005, 03:19 PM
Sam T. Sam T. is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: St Louis, MO
Posts: 160
Default Re: a8s final table - push or fold?

And back to the question at hand...

I think this is a push:
- You have a suited ace, and the table will be pretty tight as players try to fold their way up the ladder.
- You are the table shortee, but still have some good FE.
- If the blinds go through you once more your FE will be all but gone against the table big-stacks.

But I'm not happy about it:
-Five players to act.
-If you get called you are likely dominated. I'd prefer the play if I had JTs or QJs - decent cards that were both live if I were called. I'd love to hear other perspectives on the question, "Would you rather push with A8s or JTs?"

Best,

Sam
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