Can variance be this bad really? - Page 2

Stuey · #11 06-22-2005, 02:59 AM

Read Gambling Theory and Other Topics by Mason Malmuth.

Then you will never say

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Any tricks to beat this kind of crap (say play on multiple sites so when you are running bad on one go to another)?

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this again, as it is very dangerous to think this is even a possiblity. You can run bad, much worse than you ever thought possible and it will not matter how many sites you play on.

You need to understand for yourself why this is true not have people here tell you it is so. Sorry you got screwed over so bad on that session and sorry if I sound like a jerk, but this is important. I and I think everyone else here went through the same thing you are going through.

It suks but if you learn why it is a good thing you are going to be set for the next time it happens to you. As it will happen again, and again to you and to all of us. It is a good thing beleive it or not.

irishpint · #12 06-22-2005, 03:03 AM

may i add suited flops (when you hold AA-JJ, none that suit) and paired flops (JJ6 when holding KK, folding when its 3 bets to you to turn a king....) to the list of things i want to [censored] kill tonight?

irishpint · #13 06-22-2005, 03:18 AM

also add KK running into AA when BOTH flop a set and AK flopping top pair and losing to runner runner flush Q6- called 2 cold pf and called 2 cold flop with a BDFD!!

fuc i love this game

NDHand · #14 06-22-2005, 03:22 AM

I just went through a 330 BB downswing myself... but now im back about 270BB so it should all be a bad memory soon =)

irishpint · #15 06-22-2005, 03:33 AM

add flush over flush. fuckkk

Paxosmotic · #16 06-22-2005, 03:47 AM

Are you protecting your hands properly? What are your VPIP, PFR, and aggression?

Duerig · #17 06-22-2005, 08:19 AM

HOLY [censored] [censored]

deception5 · #18 06-22-2005, 08:22 AM

Or this bad:

Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (8 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 raises, 2 folds, SB calls, Hero 3-bets, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls, MP2 caps, SB calls, Hero calls, MP1 calls.

Flop: (17 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, MP1 raises, MP2 3-bets, SB folds, Hero caps, MP1 calls, MP2 calls.

Turn: (14.50 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, MP1 calls, MP2 raises, Hero 3-bets, MP1 calls, MP2 calls $1.37 (All-In), Hero calls, MP1 calls.

River: (24.61 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players, 1 all-in)
Hero bets, MP1 calls.

Final Pot: 26.61 BB

Results in white below: 
MP1 has 7s 7c (three of a kind, sevens).
MP2 has Ts Qd (straight, ace high).
Hero has Js Jc (three of a kind, jacks).
Outcome: MP2 wins 24.61 BB. Hero wins 2 BB.

jrz1972 · #19 06-22-2005, 08:35 AM

These sorts of hideous sessions happen from time to time. There is no reason at all to be concerned. If anything, the stats you cited should help you get some perspective. Do you think you're always going to go 2 for 12 (or whatever) with your big pockets? No? Then what are you worrying about?

2+2 Junkie · #20 06-22-2005, 11:20 AM

Thanks for the butt kicking. I just haven't seen so many different ways to bust good to great hands in one session. I have had runs of -220BB before, but it took a long time to get there, never this many in one night.
There was a post about these bad runs are good things. Please explain?