Bet this river? - Page 2

Bodhi · #11 06-10-2005, 04:53 PM

Based on the preflop action, I don't think anyone has KK, so the only hands you're behind on the turn are AJ or J9, which UTG+1 seems to be representing (I think you have MP2 beat). Why did he check the river? Is he intending to check-raise because MP2 hasn't slowed down? There's an outside possibility that UTG+1 has TT and now figures he's still beat on the river, but I really wonder what he was calling 2 cold with twice on the flop.
Lastly, utg+1 could have KQ for 2 pair and thought it would be clever to slowplay the flop. Based on all the action and our inability to really narrow down utg+1's holdings, you should bet the river.

Bodhi · #12 06-10-2005, 04:56 PM

Can we really narrow down utg+1's holdings so well here? I don't think we can.

Bodhi · #13 06-10-2005, 04:58 PM

Shouldn't the indeterminacy of utg+1's holdings make us more inclined to bet, not less? Oh well, I can see the merits of checking behind because we don't want to pay twice to showdown.

Bodhi · #14 06-10-2005, 04:59 PM

Is utg+1 going to attempt a 2nd check-raise with a straight?