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Old 06-08-2005, 06:53 PM
DVC Calif DVC Calif is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 124
Default Re: Live Tourney - Very Tough Spot

[ QUOTE ]
...I folded and finished 2nd for the second consecutive time in that tournament...

[/ QUOTE ]

I can only imagine what your post would be like if you called and lost. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

By definintion, the Donk does not understand the theory of poker. He also does not understand that a checkraise is a declaration of strength and that he should be treading very cautiously. Of course, being a Donk, he insta-raises t20k.

I don't blame you for going into the tank. If he was holding Ax, your bottom pair could have gotten counterfeited very easily. And if he made a better second pair on the turn or river... [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

I tried plugging some possible hands that Donk might have into twodimes. 2 out of 3 of my samples show you are a 65% favorite. Of course I had to guess on what the board actually had for the flush but you get the idea.

Result
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1018168
pokenum -h as 2s - jd 9d -- ah td 2d
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Td 2d Ah
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As 2s 665 67.17 325 32.83 0 0.00 0.672
Jd 9d 325 32.83 665 67.17 0 0.00 0.328

Result
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1018171
pokenum -h as 2s - ac 5d -- ah td 2d
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Td 2d Ah
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As 2s 646 65.25 189 19.09 155 15.66 0.731
Ac 5d 189 19.09 646 65.25 155 15.66 0.269

Result
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1018155
pokenum -h as 2s - ad 8d -- ah td 2d
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Td 2d Ah
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As 2s 445 44.95 465 46.97 80 8.08 0.490
Ad 8d 465 46.97 445 44.95 80 8.08 0.510

Congrats on the 2nd, especially back to back. You're obviously playing well and just need to refine some leaks here and there.

GG, Steve
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